CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Crashers vs Back to Back - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca25d773d4b023992a1e169f121d3a0ffd5adbb7450fdb9613cc21048edf7ec8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Back to Back of Crashers, Back to Back
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,992
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,992 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Crashers | 1c | 5,418$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.18 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Crashers | 58c | 1,955$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.26 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Crashers | 61c | 947.05$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.74 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Crashers | 56c | 841.18$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.35 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Back to Back | 36c | 805$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.2 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Back to Back | 59c | 703.89$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.76 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Back to Back | 44c | 651.52$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.23 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked Crashers | 52c | 420.32$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.16 | 219 | 39.7%87 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Back to Back | 37c | 364.22$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.03 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Crashers | 38c | 358.28$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.72 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3d…bbfabacked Crashers | 55c | 304.4$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.31 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Back to Back | 36c | 293.83$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.26 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Back to Back | 50c | 267.08$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.66 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d1…ba29backed Crashers | 50c | 254.64$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.32 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Back to Back | 46c | 205.39$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.39 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Crashers | 53c | 188.64$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Back to Back | 35c | 147.92$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.15 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed Crashers | 71c | 92.68$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.8 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Back to Back | 70c | 85.94$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.78 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Back to Back | 64c | 76.74$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.28 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Back to Back | 47c | 75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Back to Back | 53c | 72$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.01 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Back to Back | 45c | 58.18$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Crashers | 67c | 44.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 199 | 35.7%71 W · 128 L | -13.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad06…b132backed Back to Back | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x862c…9d40backed Back to Back | 56c | 37.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Crashers | 49c | 35.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Back to Back | 56c | 20.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Back to Back | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 373 | 39.7%148 W · 225 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Crashers | 51c | 19.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 219 | 56.2%123 W · 96 L | +14.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Crashers vs Back to Back - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Crashers vs Back to Back (BO3) - CCT South America Series #10 Group StageBack to Back won
- Counter-Strike: Crashers vs Back to Back - Map 2 WinnerBack to Back won
- Map Handicap: CRASH (-1.5) vs Back to Back (+1.5)Back to Back won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.