CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1ebd5645d5a34f77601a972bad12c87d9c9c1b10ff167a75a77527ffdb8025f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rune Eatersof Leo Team, Rune Eaters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,969
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,969 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Leo Team | 71c | 2,646$1,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,872.53 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe137…a117backed Rune Eaters | 23c | 1,293$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.45 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Leo Team | 70c | 1,291$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.22 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Leo Team | 70c | 1,237$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.08 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Rune Eaters | 19c | 1,039$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.85 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b7…3e1cbacked Rune Eaters | 29c | 937.93$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.93 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Leo Team | 1c | 935.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Rune Eaters | 34c | 744.36$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.86 | 526 | 36.5%192 W · 334 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd20f…2f35backed Leo Team | 10c | 693.72$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.01 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9b…3de2backed Rune Eaters | 28c | 679.02$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.89 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Leo Team | 68c | 551.62$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.69 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1f…a252backed Rune Eaters | 22c | 460.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.6 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Leo Team | 79c | 438.05$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.18 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5e…58efbacked Rune Eaters | 29c | 429$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.59 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Rune Eaters | 29c | 417.24$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.24 | 387 | 39.5%153 W · 234 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b4…7730backed Rune Eaters | 18c | 413$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.03 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…8f64backed Rune Eaters | 28c | 403.6$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.59 | 123 | 34.1%42 W · 81 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…3206backed Rune Eaters | 29c | 286.29$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.37 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked Rune Eaters | 29c | 281.01$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.52 | 464 | 47.6%221 W · 243 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Leo Team | 24c | 234.47$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.84 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16fd…b4d3backed Leo Team | 67c | 231.82$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.32 | 298 | 40.3%120 W · 178 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Leo Team | 72c | 213.71$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.87 | 611 | 54.7%334 W · 277 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked Rune Eaters | 29c | 205.54$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.54 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Rune Eaters | 28c | 194.68$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.17 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1512…68f3backed Rune Eaters | 31c | 183.09$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.33 | 291 | 53.6%156 W · 135 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Rune Eaters | 14c | 182.7$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.77 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Rune Eaters | 60c | 153.49$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.66 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Rune Eaters | 28c | 152.69$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.8 | 249 | 39.8%99 W · 150 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcf…056bbacked Leo Team | 65c | 150$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.34 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Rune Eaters | 30c | 135.13$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.74 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Leo Team | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Rune Eaters | 11c | 110.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.17 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Rune Eaters | 48c | 106.4$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.8 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x911f…5ed0backed Leo Team | 36c | 102.68$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Rune Eaters | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa6…c89ebacked Leo Team | 80c | 91.91$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Rune Eaters | 28c | 82$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.83 | 456 | 39.3%179 W · 277 L | -29.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Leo Team | 61c | 81.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.65 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Leo Team | 66c | 73.84$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.04 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Leo Team | 70c | 71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 180 | 63.9%115 W · 65 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Rune Eaters | 21c | 67.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.69 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | +20.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f15…0ce5backed Rune Eaters | 23c | 63.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.02 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Leo Team | 70c | 61.98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.39 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Rune Eaters | 31c | 60.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.81 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba6…2a7ebacked Rune Eaters | 32c | 60$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Leo Team | 52c | 58.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf6…b779backed Rune Eaters | 32c | 57.61$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b1…81b5backed Leo Team | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Rune Eaters | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 246 | 33.3%82 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Rune Eaters | 39c | 46.28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.23 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Leo Team | 80c | 43.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 133 | 63.9%85 W · 48 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Rune Eaters | 25c | 40.94$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.7 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad06…b132backed Leo Team | 77c | 40$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Leo Team | 66c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.53 | 373 | 39.7%148 W · 225 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Leo Team | 65c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…1be7backed Rune Eaters | 32c | 32.53$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.12 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +32%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb1…eab3backed Leo Team | 65c | 30.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedd1…45a9backed Leo Team | 68c | 27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -6.0wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Leo Team | 72c | 24.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Leo Team | 72c | 19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 124 | 69.4%86 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Leo Team | 72c | 17.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…15eebacked Leo Team | 61c | 16.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 52 | 11.5%6 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs Rune Eaters - Map 2 WinnerRune Eaters won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.