CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: los kogutos vs brazylijski luz (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #17 Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae3b6e4bf4576230c92643d57b4cae38c0989e4805a7e42a6395915f650bc7ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- los kogutosof los kogutos, brazylijski luz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,552
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,468
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,552 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed brazylijski luz | 2c | 956$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcf…4b45backed brazylijski luz | 32c | 864$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.93 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed brazylijski luz | 39c | 694.43$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.77 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0fb…7e77backed brazylijski luz | 32c | 634$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.88 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce8e…41debacked brazylijski luz | 32c | 629$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.28 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6de…6c62backed brazylijski luz | 32c | 626$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce4…4b62backed brazylijski luz | 32c | 619$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.08 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…64f8backed brazylijski luz | 32c | 608$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.56 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ac…f94fbacked brazylijski luz | 39c | 592$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x109d…9274backed brazylijski luz | 32c | 583$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.56 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed los kogutos | 61c | 580.63$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.33 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x530d…8720backed brazylijski luz | 39c | 562$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fc…122ebacked los kogutos | 68c | 543$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.83 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 55cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked brazylijski luz | 4c | 474.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed los kogutos | 65c | 358.64$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.25 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f7d…99f8backed los kogutos | 61c | 356$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked los kogutos | 63c | 349.87$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.23 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…61dabacked los kogutos | 68c | 323$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.36 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8de…a500backed los kogutos | 68c | 321$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.72 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…5e8cbacked los kogutos | 68c | 319$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.08 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x174a…6f03backed los kogutos | 68c | 318$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.76 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff27…f845backed los kogutos | 68c | 316$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.12 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ae…a498backed los kogutos | 68c | 311$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.52 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 56cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe197…a4cebacked los kogutos | 68c | 311$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.52 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29ce…9162backed los kogutos | 68c | 311$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.52 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xede1…b1b6backed los kogutos | 68c | 310$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3c…0f07backed los kogutos | 68c | 308$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe255…57c9backed los kogutos | 68c | 308$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.56 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc78…a592backed los kogutos | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 69cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d1…ba29backed brazylijski luz | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8de…4921backed los kogutos | 68c | 292$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.44 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed brazylijski luz | 36c | 274.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe228…b442backed los kogutos | 68c | 272$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.04 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde6e…5de3backed los kogutos | 61c | 262$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3b…bb7bbacked los kogutos | 61c | 236$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.04 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +107.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed brazylijski luz | 9c | 197.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…db93backed los kogutos | 66c | 151.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.49 | 218 | 67%146 W · 72 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed brazylijski luz | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 540 | 32.4%175 W · 365 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked brazylijski luz | 36c | 69.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked los kogutos | 69c | 43.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 336 | 57.1%192 W · 144 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b0…ceebbacked brazylijski luz | 30c | 39.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 118 | 30.5%36 W · 82 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0d…c09abacked brazylijski luz | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedaa…89b4backed los kogutos | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 245 | 35.9%88 W · 157 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x350e…7528backed los kogutos | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.