CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Acend vs Omega - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9c5f0cd4211c6f983e7ad9eb41260103b6da0f6d3aad5a35c6f9b5ae3cde28e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Acendof Acend, Omega
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,195
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,195 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5407…251cbacked Omega | 40c | 1,600$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.99 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Acend | 63c | 1,037$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.63 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Acend | 64c | 1,032$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.05 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Omega | 40c | 787.83$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.38 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28b9…7e01backed Omega | 27c | 513.99$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.03 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Acend | 76c | 474.03$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.71 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Acend | 72c | 257.06$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.64 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Acend | 62c | 224.15$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.33 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Omega | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 345 | 42.3%146 W · 199 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x350e…7528backed Omega | 17c | 127.15$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99fb…210ebacked Omega | 20c | 101$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Acend | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Omega | 15c | 94.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Acend | 61c | 75.72$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.62 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf680…f435backed Acend | 68c | 63.12$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Acend | 76c | 58.89$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.13 | 157 | 38.2%60 W · 97 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Acend | 60c | 57$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Acend | 59c | 56.04$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.71 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked Acend | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed Acend | 59c | 40.08$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.31 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | -33.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Acend | 47c | 38.54$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Acend | 59c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Acend vs Omega - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Acend vs Omega (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Group StageAcend won
- Counter-Strike: Acend vs Omega - Map 1 WinnerOmega won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: ACE (-1.5) vs Omega (+1.5)Omega won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.