CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Acend vs Omega - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x206fa0c183d5e3cdff3058e7abfd7034cf2bcff37653c9fdb097c019b53585ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Omegaof Acend, Omega
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,673
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,673 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Acend | 49c | 2,626$1,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,291.73 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…251cbacked Omega | 49c | 1,700$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.99 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked Omega | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Acend | 16c | 868.71$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.8 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Acend | 11c | 838.8$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.5 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Omega | 55c | 555$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.75 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed Omega | 50c | 503.18$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.59 | 476 | 41.6%198 W · 278 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Acend | 27c | 468.51$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.04 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61fe…0956backed Acend | 26c | 421.84$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.24 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | +10.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Omega | 56c | 259.47$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.23 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Acend | 18c | 250.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.18 | 388 | 35.8%139 W · 249 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65bf…3906backed Acend | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Acend | 61c | 180$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.32 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Acend | 49c | 167$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.74 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Acend | 42c | 155.25$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.63 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e88…8a9bbacked Acend | 51c | 145$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Acend | 40c | 135.37$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.58 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…1761backed Acend | 50c | 127.25$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Acend | 50c | 116.98$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.32 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Omega | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Acend | 23c | 54.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Acend | 21c | 49.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 47 | 14.9%7 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed Acend | 51c | 47.74$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Omega | 51c | 38.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Omega | 63c | 38.77$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Acend | 42c | 36.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed Acend | 45c | 33.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 432 | 39.1%169 W · 263 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…94f3backed Omega | 49c | 31.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Omega | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Omega | 78c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Omega | 55c | 21.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.77 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bbb…2948backed Omega | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 170 | 70%119 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Acend vs Omega - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Acend vs Omega (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Group StageAcend won
- Counter-Strike: Acend vs Omega - Map 2 WinnerAcend won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: ACE (-1.5) vs Omega (+1.5)Omega won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.