CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs BESTIA - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda4fd4f3e046bef49d4e91c0a09dab740b1f564d1677f2a4ff281e051db21b97
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BESTIAof Fake do Biru, BESTIA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,119
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,119 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x861f…a189backed BESTIA | 56c | 1,084$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.04 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…3887backed Fake do Biru | 31c | 640.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Fake do Biru | 38c | 525.53$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.02 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed BESTIA | 56c | 501.27$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.31 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Fake do Biru | 50c | 386$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Fake do Biru | 52c | 379.91$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.96 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked BESTIA | 72c | 181.76$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.89 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Fake do Biru | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Fake do Biru | 38c | 77.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed BESTIA | 47c | 59.84$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.46 | 432 | 39.1%169 W · 263 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa825…2ef0backed Fake do Biru | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -8.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Fake do Biru | 34c | 40.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e1…b9cdbacked BESTIA | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked Fake do Biru | 38c | 37.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 416 | 40.6%169 W · 247 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked BESTIA | 45c | 33.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed BESTIA | 61c | 30.21$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 447 | 43.8%196 W · 251 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x350e…7528backed BESTIA | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Fake do Biru | 49c | 23.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs BESTIA - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs BESTIA (BO3) - Circuit X Pantanal Cuiabá Group BBESTIA won
- Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs BESTIA - Map 2 WinnerFake do Biru won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.