Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Rice Owls vs. North Texas Mean Green
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05e42122a827ef6a676c97e5d3de7295df4332974f34966e4153526144bef1da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- North Texas Mean Greenof Rice Owls, North Texas Mean Green
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,751
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,751 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked North Texas Mean Green | 72c | 3,451$2,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.23 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Rice Owls | 28c | 2,576$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.53 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Rice Owls | 57c | 2,137$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.58 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed North Texas Mean Green | 33c | 1,889$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,270.63 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Rice Owls | 27c | 1,751$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.76 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed North Texas Mean Green | 53c | 1,741$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.8 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Rice Owls | 62c | 1,617$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.56 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Rice Owls | 62c | 1,495$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.17 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked North Texas Mean Green | 47c | 1,253$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.99 | 434 | 50%217 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked North Texas Mean Green | 28c | 1,045$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.07 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed North Texas Mean Green | 33c | 992.26$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.82 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8487…a68bbacked North Texas Mean Green | 51c | 973.18$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.55 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed North Texas Mean Green | 73c | 866.49$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.95 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Rice Owls | 38c | 657.16$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.52 | 231 | 49.8%115 W · 116 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9253…56bcbacked North Texas Mean Green | 51c | 583.09$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.71 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 39cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked North Texas Mean Green | 40c | 539.82$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.67 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Rice Owls | 37c | 505.67$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.55 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed North Texas Mean Green | 46c | 403.18$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.27 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Rice Owls | 64c | 359.69$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.2 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rice Owls | 62c | 354.23$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.37 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed North Texas Mean Green | 43c | 340.37$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.74 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked North Texas Mean Green | 49c | 320.28$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.7 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed North Texas Mean Green | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked North Texas Mean Green | 74c | 298.96$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.63 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Rice Owls | 71c | 276.89$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.53 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe64b…9cf1backed Rice Owls | 49c | 203.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.57 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.25per pick | 45cpaid | +95%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Rice Owls | 28c | 198.59$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.6 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed North Texas Mean Green | 36c | 189.13$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.52 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Rice Owls | 25c | 183.11$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.78 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Rice Owls | 50c | 180.55$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.87 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75a4…ab08backed Rice Owls | 58c | 170.94$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.15 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e7cbacked Rice Owls | 70c | 142.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.63 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Rice Owls | 59c | 135.14$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.55 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Rice Owls | 47c | 134.64$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.46 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed North Texas Mean Green | 39c | 114.42$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.8 | 192 | 37%71 W · 121 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Rice Owls | 56c | 111.5$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.33 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Rice Owls | 24c | 110.8$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.59 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Rice Owls | 27c | 109.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 267 | 49.1%131 W · 136 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked North Texas Mean Green | 74c | 102.94$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.76 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Rice Owls | 56c | 100.57$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.48 | 253 | 37.5%95 W · 158 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed North Texas Mean Green | 29c | 99.28$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.49 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Rice Owls | 50c | 99.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 322 | 46.6%150 W · 172 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587d…a1f5backed North Texas Mean Green | 44c | 67.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +118.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf72…b4a6backed North Texas Mean Green | 76c | 66.82$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 94 | 70.2%66 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f3…c859backed Rice Owls | 60c | 62.8$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Rice Owls | 49c | 60.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.77 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rice Owls | 25c | 55.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Rice Owls | 25c | 55.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Rice Owls | 26c | 50.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b00…03a9backed North Texas Mean Green | 31c | 49.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.24 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Rice Owls | 41c | 48.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe300…8b9ebacked North Texas Mean Green | 43c | 44.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.63 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3831…7f10backed Rice Owls | 76c | 42.62$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Rice Owls | 24c | 41.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9643…2dc9backed Rice Owls | 64c | 38.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebfd…cba6backed Rice Owls | 57c | 34.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcffd…7f24backed North Texas Mean Green | 76c | 34.19$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc793…c24cbacked North Texas Mean Green | 51c | 31.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked North Texas Mean Green | 74c | 30.35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…65babacked Rice Owls | 40c | 28.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x350e…7528backed Rice Owls | 41c | 26.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed North Texas Mean Green | 78c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 229 | 50.7%116 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c3…9792backed Rice Owls | 72c | 21.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 270 | 55.6%150 W · 120 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed Rice Owls | 58c | 20.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed North Texas Mean Green | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf58…711fbacked North Texas Mean Green | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Rice Owls | 68c | 19.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb41a…a59abacked Rice Owls | 62c | 19.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fd…b1fabacked Rice Owls | 80c | 18.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 79cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Rice Owls | 68c | 17.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rice Owls vs. North Texas Mean Greenthis page
- Spread: North Texas Mean Green (-7.5)Rice Owls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.