Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Bradley Braves vs. Evansville Aces
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff1163646f658ea86c011e0b1aff6b1b78c11184071302483b5023bd6c1c5f3d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bradley Bravesof Bradley Braves, Evansville Aces
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,845
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,519
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,845 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Evansville Aces | 17c | 5,190$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.96 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c81…fce3backed Bradley Braves | 58c | 5,082$2,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,133.45 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Bradley Braves | 69c | 4,110$2,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.15 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Evansville Aces | 47c | 3,945$1,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,836.3 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…175bbacked Evansville Aces | 45c | 2,801$1,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,252.08 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Bradley Braves | 46c | 1,029$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.95 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Evansville Aces | 23c | 755.04$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.66 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Evansville Aces | 5c | 700$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 133 | 13.5%18 W · 115 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Evansville Aces | 34c | 659.42$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.86 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Bradley Braves | 53c | 579.71$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.17 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Bradley Braves | 52c | 574.73$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.61 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Evansville Aces | 15c | 466.8$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.96 | 140 | 21.4%30 W · 110 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Bradley Braves | 56c | 400.66$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.29 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Bradley Braves | 75c | 397$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.25 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Bradley Braves | 54c | 397$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.89 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Bradley Braves | 59c | 378.17$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.85 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Evansville Aces | 31c | 319.71$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.74 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Bradley Braves | 56c | 288.29$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.51 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Evansville Aces | 42c | 281.14$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.08 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Bradley Braves | 75c | 280.51$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.13 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Evansville Aces | 25c | 206$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Bradley Braves | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 346 | 49.1%170 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Bradley Braves | 65c | 198.06$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.02 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Evansville Aces | 50c | 180$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Evansville Aces | 34c | 156$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.96 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Evansville Aces | 26c | 150$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 60 | 16.7%10 W · 50 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Evansville Aces | 18c | 130.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Bradley Braves | 43c | 127.02$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.19 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Evansville Aces | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Bradley Braves | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Bradley Braves | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Bradley Braves | 56c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.54 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Bradley Braves | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 402 | 52.7%212 W · 190 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Evansville Aces | 25c | 88.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Evansville Aces | 25c | 83.37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Bradley Braves | 75c | 70.44$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Bradley Braves | 64c | 57.73$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.07 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3b…72acbacked Bradley Braves | 78c | 52.63$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x739a…a4d2backed Bradley Braves | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 68cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…c054backed Bradley Braves | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 190 | 57.4%109 W · 81 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b05…25dfbacked Evansville Aces | 28c | 49.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Evansville Aces | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 101 | 26.7%27 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Bradley Braves | 56c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.71 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x382c…2261backed Bradley Braves | 76c | 42.91$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Bradley Braves | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 176 | 47.2%83 W · 93 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Bradley Braves | 64c | 42.4$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.07 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x868d…b425backed Evansville Aces | 28c | 39.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…8161backed Bradley Braves | 72c | 39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Evansville Aces | 44c | 34.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked Bradley Braves | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Evansville Aces | 56c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…efbbbacked Bradley Braves | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 78cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1206…eaeebacked Bradley Braves | 53c | 20.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Bradley Braves | 63c | 19.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Bradley Braves | 64c | 19.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 318 | 37.7%120 W · 198 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce5…8fa2backed Evansville Aces | 67c | 17.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.