TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: RED Canids vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sentinelsof RED Canids, Sentinels
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$171,450

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $171,450 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x58f8…dc70backed Sentinels62c54,354$33,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,771.2140370.2%283 W · 120 L+31.3wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+9.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked RED Canids38c51,266$19,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,481.1955955.8%312 W · 247 L+50.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+20.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked RED Canids15c11,926$1,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,758.251,25937.6%473 W · 786 L+34.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed RED Canids38c9,614$3,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,667.13,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x910d…cfc0backed RED Canids27c6,053$1,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,653.1518451.6%95 W · 89 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Sentinels60c6,000$3,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3802,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe308…25cdbacked RED Canids40c5,860$2,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,343.5466437.2%247 W · 417 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1d4…38d6backed RED Canids1c5,555$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.552072.9%6 W · 201 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-75.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c59…3887backed RED Canids11c5,498$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.411129.7%33 W · 78 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-17.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9560…9467backed RED Canids38c4,356$1,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,655.2320454.9%112 W · 92 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a06…31d8backed Sentinels76c4,095$3,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$971.2748353.4%258 W · 225 L-19.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed Sentinels62c3,273$2,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,251.139749.1%195 W · 202 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11e5…337ebacked Sentinels62c3,000$1,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,141.014151.2%21 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked RED Canids12c2,812$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.332,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d75…cf0bbacked RED Canids1c2,485$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.031766.3%11 W · 165 L-0.5wins0.00per pick7cpaid-46.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b90…f361backed Sentinels62c2,366$1,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905.132259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30f4…8c1ebacked Sentinels62c2,341$1,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889.191553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked RED Canids5c2,215$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.511,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a2b…c97cbacked Sentinels62c2,093$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792.751752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-25.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5ea…d07fbacked RED Canids41c2,000$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$810.395951.3%492 W · 467 L+42.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Sentinels77c1,979$1,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.2469756.5%394 W · 303 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed Sentinels68c1,922$1,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.081,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa794…1361backed RED Canids19c1,761$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.5210624.5%26 W · 80 L+0.5wins0.00per pick24cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked RED Canids18c1,690$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.141,59234%541 W · 1,051 L-79.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Sentinels60c1,550$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.0618350.8%93 W · 90 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked RED Canids10c1,500$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.51,00342.5%426 W · 577 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b63…4acdbacked Sentinels59c1,413$834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.2927447.8%131 W · 143 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7ea…bbb3backed RED Canids13c1,341$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.096328.6%18 W · 45 L-11.1wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-48.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed RED Canids27c1,313$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.991,25838.6%485 W · 773 L-61.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed Sentinels60c1,280$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.949245.7%42 W · 50 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b12…43c8backed RED Canids41c1,216$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4957343.8%32 W · 41 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-28.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked Sentinels70c1,195$837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.351,53662.6%961 W · 575 L+157.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xcdb8…e969backed RED Canids10c1,172$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1181,24152.7%654 W · 587 L+5.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed RED Canids35c969.98$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.172,22637.5%834 W · 1,392 L-29.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6846…a82fbacked RED Canids3c969.41$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.962433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-33.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x67e7…705bbacked Sentinels60c800$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3204070%28 W · 12 L+5.4wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+20.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed RED Canids39c750$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.51,46828.9%424 W · 1,044 L+23.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Sentinels56c650.43$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.8350848.4%246 W · 262 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x59aa…3376backed RED Canids32c634.85$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.991,13143.1%487 W · 644 L+0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02d7…0c39backed RED Canids14c600$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8316934.3%58 W · 111 L+18.6wins+0.11per pick23cpaid+29.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed RED Canids12c545.52$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.421350.2%107 W · 106 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed RED Canids39c537.89$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.811,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked Sentinels66c521.28$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.2553640.3%216 W · 320 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1b8…9d1fbacked RED Canids3c500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1545937%170 W · 289 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Sentinels60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001,15568.1%786 W · 369 L+35.1wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e38…de0fbacked Sentinels70c401.05$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.746149.2%30 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28a3…f681backed RED Canids36c400$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14437039.5%146 W · 224 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked RED Canids5c382.62$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.922,34140.3%943 W · 1,398 L-61.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x561d…94bebacked Sentinels63c382.54$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.5446552.7%245 W · 220 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked RED Canids37c382.54$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.541,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56b4…c4adbacked RED Canids40c380$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15212454%67 W · 57 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+22.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x076b…dbfabacked RED Canids31c372.67$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.4917646.6%82 W · 94 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked Sentinels64c366.63$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.981,66359.5%990 W · 673 L+98.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe46a…f06abacked RED Canids32c340.64$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1106159%36 W · 25 L+7.8wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+34.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed RED Canids11c327.27$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3644843.8%196 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2271…8170backed Sentinels61c322.58$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.812661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+25%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x65e0…e51dbacked RED Canids16c312.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5043138.1%164 W · 267 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4687…8d42backed Sentinels64c312.34$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.443959%23 W · 16 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Sentinels59c300$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12386649.7%430 W · 436 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked RED Canids11c300$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3333251.5%171 W · 161 L+33.0wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+17.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe27c…79e0backed RED Canids40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10039663.4%251 W · 145 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe625…94c0backed RED Canids21c234.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5074344%327 W · 416 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb953…5393backed RED Canids44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10057151.5%294 W · 277 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x625a…7bb3backed Sentinels62c205.23$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.9912548%60 W · 65 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Sentinels61c199.99$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781,39943.7%612 W · 787 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked RED Canids13c192.31$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2519731%61 W · 136 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d83…272cbacked Sentinels61c180.33$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.3359241.9%248 W · 344 L-16.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5024…b8bcbacked RED Canids43c177.02$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.1221255.2%117 W · 95 L-11.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb003…d962backed RED Canids41c169.99$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6979151.8%410 W · 381 L+15.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67f7…6876backed RED Canids15c166.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252817.9%5 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Sentinels60c150$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601,36837.7%516 W · 852 L-6.8wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc2be…fa51backed Sentinels62c126.34$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.01666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf213…a627backed Sentinels64c118.75$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.7574949.7%372 W · 377 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd371…7ea5backed RED Canids42c117.93$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502556%14 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed RED Canids17c112.87$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2810638.7%41 W · 65 L-10.3wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-29.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8381…a304backed Sentinels62c110.03$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.816662.1%41 W · 25 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fa7…2bb4backed Sentinels61c101.56$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.614753.2%25 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+15%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd02a…b34bbacked Sentinels60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403259.4%19 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29a5…65c5backed RED Canids40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010761.7%66 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b50…ea47backed RED Canids17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171,29426.6%344 W · 950 L+65.3wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed RED Canids40c99.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.541544.6%185 W · 230 L+16.6wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14f4…fa45backed Sentinels61c83.31$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.495952.5%31 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f83…d411backed Sentinels61c80$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.511669.8%81 W · 35 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ed5…8165backed RED Canids40c75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3034844.8%156 W · 192 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc44f…af90backed Sentinels60c72$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.6614067.9%95 W · 45 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2bc…a4c6backed Sentinels58c58.88$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.734057.5%23 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b05…25dfbacked RED Canids39c53.85$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2120245%91 W · 111 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x16f8…31e9backed RED Canids40c51.38$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.552556%14 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96f1…b6d8backed RED Canids43c51.16$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2238659.8%231 W · 155 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0275…596dbacked Sentinels61c49.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.181957.9%11 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f38…4ddbbacked Sentinels57c46.12$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7719644.9%88 W · 108 L-16.5wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-19.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Sentinels74c44.7$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.561,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ddc…7b24backed RED Canids45c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1812054.2%65 W · 55 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed RED Canids40c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.21,64344.4%730 W · 913 L-42.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0af…3b75backed RED Canids43c38.65$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4412137.2%45 W · 76 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5747…7fdfbacked Sentinels61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7946560%279 W · 186 L+0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fc6…7affbacked Sentinels61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.79728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-53.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Sentinels75c30.87$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.672,90538.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L-118.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf006…bf1ebacked RED Canids44c29.05$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7869247%325 W · 367 L+1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9a9…7876backed RED Canids42c28.05$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.782744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.