Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Morehead State Eagles vs. UT Martin Skyhawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0db208fac17820e0dd66571ff25ee6904173097b96a7e6553ff55d3ea14a8b54
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Morehead State Eaglesof Morehead State Eagles, UT Martin Skyhawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,636
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,405
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,636 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb729…4e2ebacked Morehead State Eagles | 43c | 2,517$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,444.3 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked UT Martin Skyhawks | 28c | 1,399$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.47 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed UT Martin Skyhawks | 55c | 1,232$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.08 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Morehead State Eagles | 23c | 1,184$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.76 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked UT Martin Skyhawks | 62c | 1,122$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.88 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked UT Martin Skyhawks | 18c | 727.5$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.6 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed UT Martin Skyhawks | 75c | 661.51$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.89 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Morehead State Eagles | 22c | 599.98$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.98 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed UT Martin Skyhawks | 24c | 536.22$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.83 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed UT Martin Skyhawks | 23c | 470$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.73 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e5…9401backed Morehead State Eagles | 32c | 316.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.88 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked UT Martin Skyhawks | 17c | 293$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.28 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Morehead State Eagles | 54c | 284.52$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.61 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked UT Martin Skyhawks | 56c | 264.17$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.28 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed UT Martin Skyhawks | 63c | 232.7$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.63 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Morehead State Eagles | 22c | 214.97$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.23 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x359f…fa80backed UT Martin Skyhawks | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed UT Martin Skyhawks | 20c | 183.69$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.02 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed UT Martin Skyhawks | 23c | 180$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed UT Martin Skyhawks | 14c | 168$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed UT Martin Skyhawks | 75c | 138.73$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.59 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed UT Martin Skyhawks | 77c | 130.02$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.72 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed UT Martin Skyhawks | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd120…19fcbacked UT Martin Skyhawks | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…d1e7backed Morehead State Eagles | 23c | 85.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.13 | 182 | 30.8%56 W · 126 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked UT Martin Skyhawks | 77c | 83.82$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.14 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed UT Martin Skyhawks | 37c | 83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.31 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71ac…5fd6backed UT Martin Skyhawks | 78c | 83$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.74 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b05…25dfbacked Morehead State Eagles | 25c | 73.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.05 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Morehead State Eagles | 22c | 71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked UT Martin Skyhawks | 71c | 64.32$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.53 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Morehead State Eagles | 21c | 60$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.4 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked UT Martin Skyhawks | 79c | 60$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked UT Martin Skyhawks | 78c | 53.01$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.3 | 459 | 53.8%247 W · 212 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed UT Martin Skyhawks | 78c | 42.54$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.18 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked UT Martin Skyhawks | 76c | 41.66$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.66 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24f7…4e2abacked UT Martin Skyhawks | 73c | 39.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed UT Martin Skyhawks | 62c | 35.08$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed UT Martin Skyhawks | 61c | 32.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked UT Martin Skyhawks | 77c | 17.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed UT Martin Skyhawks | 78c | 14.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Morehead State Eagles vs. UT Martin Skyhawksthis page
- Morehead State Eagles vs. UT Martin Skyhawks: O/U 135.5Under won
- Morehead State Eagles vs. UT Martin Skyhawks: O/U 136.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.