Tennis · resolved market
ASB Classic: Panna Udvardy vs Sara Bejlek
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23b97ddd78d47419fc4298fdc6db9cf2a4c1ac194bce7817074006d9b7c72eea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bejlekof Udvardy, Bejlek
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,910
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,966
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,910 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x046c…2a9cbacked Udvardy | 42c | 1,201$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506 | 352 | 47.2%166 W · 186 L | -23.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Bejlek | 72c | 1,103$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.94 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Bejlek | 72c | 887$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.09 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Udvardy | 38c | 777$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.09 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Udvardy | 25c | 676.01$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.18 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5995…53b3backed Udvardy | 41c | 458.56$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.84 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Udvardy | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bejlek | 54c | 424.68$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.44 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Bejlek | 67c | 395.26$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.78 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9a…b04fbacked Bejlek | 67c | 392.99$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…79bebacked Udvardy | 13c | 299.97$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 102 | 8.8%9 W · 93 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Bejlek | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Bejlek | 62c | 252.76$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.05 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bejlek | 59c | 226.09$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.7 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa4…dbc5backed Udvardy | 32c | 215.56$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e82…86f6backed Bejlek | 65c | 183.69$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.69 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bejlek | 67c | 137.96$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.3 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Bejlek | 60c | 125$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 348 | 42.2%147 W · 201 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Bejlek | 62c | 105$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -6.0wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Udvardy | 34c | 104.55$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.55 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…55a0backed Bejlek | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c5…d5dabacked Udvardy | 38c | 99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.62 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -71.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed Bejlek | 69c | 63$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.53 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Udvardy | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ca…0a0dbacked Bejlek | 58c | 50.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.34 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Bejlek | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 265 | 41.9%111 W · 154 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked Bejlek | 62c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 330 | 55.8%184 W · 146 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ASB Classic: Panna Udvardy vs Sara Bejlekthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Udvardy vs BejlekBejlek won
- Set Handicap: Bejlek (-1.5) vs Udvardy (+1.5)Bejlek won
- Udvardy vs. Bejlek: Match O/U 21.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.