Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Northwestern State Demons vs. Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks: O/U 142.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x086d5077d11e364bd9ec285a58b2f043c02d091fb6c789357d00530569a17185
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,853
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,732
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,853 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 53c | 26,702$14,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,434.76 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Over | 46c | 6,845$3,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,133.95 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Over | 48c | 5,000$2,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,420 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 46c | 2,836$1,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,296.73 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 47c | 2,515$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 46c | 1,759$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.64 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x778d…cbe2backed Over | 46c | 1,499$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.54 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Under | 55c | 1,319$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.76 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Over | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…93cdbacked Over | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 46c | 900$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Over | 47c | 723.4$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Over | 46c | 601.5$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.69 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Over | 46c | 600$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Under | 55c | 427.03$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.63 | 176 | 61.4%108 W · 68 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 46c | 420.17$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.28 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9a…b04fbacked Over | 48c | 324.46$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.38 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Over | 47c | 320$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.4 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Over | 46c | 318$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.28 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 47c | 316.5$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.76 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x800b…152abacked Over | 46c | 299.35$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.7 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 55c | 233.9$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.15 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Under | 55c | 221.09$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.17 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Under | 49c | 202.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.6 | 402 | 52.7%212 W · 190 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 46c | 191.09$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6d…aeb9backed Over | 46c | 152.17$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 45c | 133.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 45c | 107.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.85 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 49c | 106$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.02 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…40a4backed Over | 52c | 103.25$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.63 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabb2…5a2dbacked Over | 46c | 100.24$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.11 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e13…391fbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.27per pick | 45cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6d…b3febacked Over | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb8…85b9backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8214…ef72backed Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 46c | 90.12$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.02 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 46c | 88.46$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.84 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 60c | 87$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.74 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 46c | 86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.56 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…a29dbacked Under | 48c | 80.52$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.87 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Over | 46c | 76.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 35c | 70.51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac7a…414fbacked Over | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -4.7wins | -0.29per pick | 48cpaid | -57%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 21c | 62.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Under | 55c | 45.04$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.22 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba87…bc76backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c20…b66cbacked Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Under | 51c | 42.36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.87 | 350 | 50.3%176 W · 174 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b3…0df0backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…49c4backed Under | 55c | 40.29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 47c | 39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 48c | 24.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1b…62c1backed Under | 67c | 22.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5554…de7ebacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Northwestern State Demons vs. Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks: O/U 142.5this page
- Northwestern State Demons vs. Stephen F. Austin LumberjacksStephen F. Austin Lumberjacks won
- Northwestern State Demons vs. Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks: O/U 141.5Under won
- Northwestern State Demons vs. Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks: O/U 143.5Under won
- Spread: Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (-14.5)Northwestern State Demons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.