Bundesliga · resolved market
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-01-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x575a08ecc8cf1970726ea32585b6b0b5863c4155e10a1bb344a026bb65bb16ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $156,963
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $169,991
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $156,963 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked No | 54c | 21,102$11,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,394.95 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 46c | 20,000$9,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,800 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes | 45c | 15,001$6,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,302.46 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 54c | 10,084$5,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,445.36 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9a…b04fbacked No | 56c | 9,000$5,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,079.97 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 43c | 8,542$3,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,839.19 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 60c | 8,440$5,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,041.11 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 55c | 6,802$3,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,713.23 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 17c | 5,499$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,558.71 | 150 | 64%96 W · 54 L | +25.0wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…2e59backed No | 55c | 4,000$2,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,219.99 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 54c | 3,986$2,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,152.47 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 58c | 3,353$1,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,954.95 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 51c | 2,996$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,476.01 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 44c | 2,786$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560.28 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 17c | 2,500$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,075 | 194 | 58.2%113 W · 81 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 28c | 1,732$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251.54 | 77 | 22.1%17 W · 60 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 56c | 1,300$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.65 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 44c | 1,161$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.36 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed No | 55c | 1,119$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.04 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -7.8wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…0c26backed Yes | 34c | 1,114$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.29 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes | 44c | 1,089$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.83 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…cad3backed Yes | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +5.8wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed No | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Yes | 44c | 900$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 54c | 715.32$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.74 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4557…bf49backed Yes | 32c | 601$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.69 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes | 46c | 600$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 227 | 47.1%107 W · 120 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked No | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 54c | 532$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.28 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed No | 56c | 504.43$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.48 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e87…2171backed Yes | 77c | 470$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.1 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed No | 55c | 454.55$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Yes | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +5.7wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Yes | 45c | 418.3$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.13 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Yes | 29c | 409.23$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.91 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 29c | 390$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.62 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 59c | 388.97$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.87 | 165 | 42.4%70 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f51…41edbacked Yes | 47c | 382.49$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.72 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 56c | 315.24$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.31 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked No | 56c | 313.67$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.62 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Yes | 16c | 300$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 21c | 300$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 44c | 299$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.17 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 37c | 280.12$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.12 | 204 | 36.3%74 W · 130 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ef…10ebbacked Yes | 45c | 237.91$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.85 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43a4…7170backed Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…4e57backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4597…272bbacked Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 54c | 200.85$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.47 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Yes | 17c | 200$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +5.2wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d55…1e94backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 147 | 26.5%39 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 44c | 159$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.04 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef65…f32fbacked Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.20per pick | 59cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 53c | 144.64$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.98 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 54c | 141.69$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.94 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 44c | 127$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.12 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc33…9636backed Yes | 36c | 126.47$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 33c | 125$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.5 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 43c | 124$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.96 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked Yes | 45c | 122.22$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.22 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 55c | 120$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 55c | 119.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x85d3…0698backed Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…c966backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.11 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +33%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7d…4b2fbacked Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa137…564bbacked Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…dd64backed Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +5.3wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked No | 55c | 103.89$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.14 | 373 | 44.5%166 W · 207 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9eb…272dbacked Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +6.6wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7d…c3a6backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 207 | 53.6%111 W · 96 L | +22.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2af6…b030backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a9…d58bbacked Yes | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.24 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 44c | 93.18$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.18 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 75c | 91.29$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.31 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed No | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes | 43c | 83.72$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.72 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7876…c421backed Yes | 28c | 83.27$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e3babacked Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 21cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Yes | 17c | 71.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.26 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7802…d5b4backed Yes | 46c | 70$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +4.2wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +60%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fc…1511backed Yes | 30c | 65.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.82 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 24c | 62.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.21 | 271 | 42.8%116 W · 155 L | +18.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x415a…7acbbacked Yes | 37c | 58.57$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +168.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 44c | 56.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.77 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…0d1abacked Yes | 45c | 55.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.43 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb51…b06dbacked Yes | 47c | 55.32$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8918…f4e4backed Yes | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked Yes | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…4d9ebacked No | 57c | 53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-01-17?this page
- Will 1. FC Köln vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw?No won
- Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-01-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.