Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Elon Phoenix vs. Northeastern Huskies: O/U 160.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27313f5da18676c4a29ce0389d7700d36a9d20623876c1ec807572fb77240e6d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,861
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,984
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,861 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x635c…45c6backed Under | 57c | 26,379$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 45c | 19,142$8,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,451.13 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Under | 49c | 8,930$4,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,380.09 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +15.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Over | 54c | 6,000$3,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,760 | 351 | 51.9%182 W · 169 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 44c | 5,097$2,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,855.63 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 47c | 4,256$1,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,265 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 46c | 3,644$1,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,676.24 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Over | 44c | 1,833$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.84 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Over | 42c | 1,162$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.77 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +7.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +36%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Over | 44c | 1,107$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d1…aa33backed Over | 44c | 1,023$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.73 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Under | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 44c | 959$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.73 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Under | 56c | 842.4$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.75 | 247 | 48.2%119 W · 128 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Under | 56c | 734$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.04 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…6900backed Over | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 137 | 35%48 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Under | 52c | 480.29$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.75 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…a6efbacked Under | 53c | 400.56$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.54 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Over | 44c | 376.75$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.98 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Over | 42c | 357$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.23 | 267 | 40.8%109 W · 158 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Over | 43c | 231.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.9 | 210 | 50%105 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +14.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Over | 44c | 181.82$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.82 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Under | 51c | 178$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.78 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Over | 49c | 174.77$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.13 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over | 40c | 152.98$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.79 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 44c | 130$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04f2…bc84backed Under | 52c | 105.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5960…d692backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +5.3wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Over | 49c | 99.98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.99 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aee…51a8backed Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x486f…b325backed Under | 53c | 94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9a…b04fbacked Under | 54c | 92.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b9…0a9bbacked Under | 54c | 88.44$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.76 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c11…b0e6backed Under | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Under | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeabd…8115backed Over | 43c | 58.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.65 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 48c | 58.32$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 1,124 | 46.4%521 W · 603 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 48c | 57.19$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.74 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ea…52dbbacked Under | 52c | 55.81$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.02 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Under | 51c | 51.47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…5dfabacked Over | 42c | 50.71$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.41 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…6421backed Under | 58c | 49.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca6…9a97backed Over | 43c | 49.48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd902…d076backed Over | 46c | 48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Under | 57c | 46.9$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…00b3backed Under | 52c | 41.49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.57 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +10.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 41c | 40.15$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.59 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 42c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Under | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…e0e5backed Under | 54c | 36.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Under | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 151 | 56.3%85 W · 66 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb99d…e196backed Under | 51c | 29.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x513e…a330backed Under | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 45c | 27.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Elon Phoenix vs. Northeastern Huskies: O/U 160.5this page
- Elon Phoenix vs. Northeastern HuskiesNortheastern Huskies won
- Spread: Elon Phoenix (-2.5)Northeastern Huskies won
- Spread: Elon Phoenix (-3.5)Northeastern Huskies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.