Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Elon Phoenix (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2bd25dba59fac53e76223acd687eb37ec01111a4dec6a6cb30726059b82cf836
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Northeastern Huskiesof Elon Phoenix, Northeastern Huskies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,905
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,912
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,905 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Northeastern Huskies | 54c | 2,957$1,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360.42 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6600…e5c6backed Elon Phoenix | 48c | 2,763$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326.1 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Northeastern Huskies | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Elon Phoenix | 46c | 927$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.42 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Northeastern Huskies | 52c | 898.46$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.82 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Elon Phoenix | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.95 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0f…f3e6backed Elon Phoenix | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Northeastern Huskies | 53c | 308.51$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Elon Phoenix | 47c | 297.87$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x513e…a330backed Northeastern Huskies | 53c | 72.92$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.27 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Elon Phoenix | 47c | 72.61$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.16 | 1,124 | 46.4%521 W · 603 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…cea7backed Northeastern Huskies | 53c | 71.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.84 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +8.6wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Elon Phoenix | 49c | 70.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.61 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Elon Phoenix | 48c | 49.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1aa…071abacked Elon Phoenix | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Northeastern Huskies | 53c | 29.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 294 | 42.9%126 W · 168 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47ba…a503backed Northeastern Huskies | 53c | 18.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Elon Phoenix (-3.5)this page
- Elon Phoenix vs. Northeastern HuskiesNortheastern Huskies won
- Elon Phoenix vs. Northeastern Huskies: O/U 160.5Over won
- Spread: Elon Phoenix (-2.5)Northeastern Huskies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.