College Football · resolved market
UCLA vs. Ohio State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0db847f07dd2f6267a9e7ffbde316b6c6626b148205fed4ea0d3052b75f0c44
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ohio Stateof UCLA, Ohio State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $144,051
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $144,908
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $144,051 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed UCLA | 2c | 75,000$1,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,706.17 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76a1…5084backed UCLA | 0c | 10,960$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba24…195bbacked UCLA | 4c | 9,616$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3618…867cbacked UCLA | 3c | 3,277$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6a…f116backed UCLA | 3c | 3,000$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd40…73a2backed UCLA | 3c | 1,913$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 112 | 21.4%24 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd87…dd8bbacked UCLA | 2c | 1,700$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 44 | 11.4%5 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98fc…ecf9backed UCLA | 2c | 1,111$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked UCLA | 1c | 1,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 134 | 17.2%23 W · 111 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed UCLA | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2615…6c59backed UCLA | 3c | 1,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed UCLA | 3c | 855.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ae…73ddbacked UCLA | 2c | 851.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5b…8882backed UCLA | 3c | 833.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf1…c04bbacked UCLA | 2c | 832.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa805…83dcbacked UCLA | 3c | 750$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 102 | 20.6%21 W · 81 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf4…00fbbacked UCLA | 4c | 686$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.07 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +42%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe930…99aebacked UCLA | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb579…f458backed UCLA | 3c | 480$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 126 | 41.3%52 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdc…ae37backed UCLA | 3c | 480$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…d549backed UCLA | 3c | 400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb1…b027backed UCLA | 4c | 336.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UCLA vs. Ohio Statethis page
- O/U 48.5Over won
- Spread: Ohio State (-31.5)Ohio State won
- Spread: Ohio State (-32.5)Ohio State won
- Spread: Ohio State (-33.5)Ohio State won
- UCLA vs. Ohio State: O/U 47.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.