Lol · resolved market
LoL: DN Freecs vs Dplus KIA (BO1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ebc49a7c895f084ca379f33bc37765c01349552e51ae0151f1b72553ffe5f48
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dplus KIAof DN Freecs, Dplus KIA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $108,925
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $131,894
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,925 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked DN Freecs | 17c | 6,326$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 135 | 43%58 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…a36dbacked DN Freecs | 24c | 6,196$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 218 | 40.4%88 W · 130 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3aab…9d46backed DN Freecs | 12c | 4,400$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed DN Freecs | 13c | 4,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked DN Freecs | 16c | 3,700$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.85 | 295 | 36.9%109 W · 186 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa61b…3984backed DN Freecs | 14c | 3,400$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.99 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -4.4wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed DN Freecs | 24c | 2,743$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.45 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked DN Freecs | 19c | 2,558$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.27 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked DN Freecs | 12c | 2,475$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.31 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked DN Freecs | 7c | 2,296$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.17 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Dplus KIA | 72c | 1,711$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x357e…2a0cbacked DN Freecs | 2c | 1,557$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.14 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3b…6598backed DN Freecs | 10c | 1,512$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.37 | 33 | 6.1%2 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked DN Freecs | 15c | 1,500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 245 | 29.8%73 W · 172 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed DN Freecs | 15c | 1,291$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.38 | 411 | 33.8%139 W · 272 L | -28.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed DN Freecs | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 443 | 35.4%157 W · 286 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Dplus KIA | 74c | 1,173$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.48 | 487 | 42.3%206 W · 281 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed DN Freecs | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7d75…cf0bbacked DN Freecs | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 176 | 6.3%11 W · 165 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed DN Freecs | 15c | 984.3$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.64 | 142 | 36.6%52 W · 90 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c13…c426backed DN Freecs | 8c | 870.24$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…fdf9backed Dplus KIA | 70c | 838.99$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.7 | 526 | 50.8%267 W · 259 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed DN Freecs | 32c | 650$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 1,229 | 45.1%554 W · 675 L | +48.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed DN Freecs | 14c | 600$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 541 | 29.9%162 W · 379 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed DN Freecs | 20c | 529.74$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.14 | 236 | 24.6%58 W · 178 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed DN Freecs | 15c | 517$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.2 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1753backed DN Freecs | 4c | 500$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed DN Freecs | 15c | 499.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 274 | 52.2%143 W · 131 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa188…3fccbacked Dplus KIA | 80c | 475.71$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.49 | 210 | 60%126 W · 84 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bab…6832backed Dplus KIA | 78c | 399.5$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.69 | 508 | 45.3%230 W · 278 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed DN Freecs | 12c | 377.73$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.33 | 1,592 | 53.7%855 W · 737 L | +57.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1351…bebcbacked DN Freecs | 15c | 337.51$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.63 | 124 | 50%62 W · 62 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…e0c1backed DN Freecs | 16c | 335$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.76 | 428 | 52.3%224 W · 204 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa099…d81fbacked DN Freecs | 16c | 322$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.34 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…c864backed DN Freecs | 8c | 314.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed DN Freecs | 5c | 312.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed DN Freecs | 9c | 311.14$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked DN Freecs | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 563 | 17.2%97 W · 466 L | -16.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed DN Freecs | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…41d5backed DN Freecs | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed DN Freecs | 20c | 298.91$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.66 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfacf…44adbacked DN Freecs | 34c | 294.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked DN Freecs | 13c | 289$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.57 | 924 | 50.9%470 W · 454 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…a31cbacked DN Freecs | 15c | 275.33$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.59 | 207 | 39.6%82 W · 125 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cff…6471backed DN Freecs | 15c | 266.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | -15.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8f…8bbabacked DN Freecs | 10c | 245.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e1…e6a2backed Dplus KIA | 72c | 201.6$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked DN Freecs | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 599 | 52.8%316 W · 283 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d12…bdf6backed DN Freecs | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked DN Freecs | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed DN Freecs | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f20…87c9backed DN Freecs | 14c | 199.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 34cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x139a…34bbbacked DN Freecs | 20c | 188.46$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0535…75ccbacked Dplus KIA | 75c | 177.07$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.27 | 1,009 | 49.2%496 W · 513 L | +30.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x449c…b07dbacked DN Freecs | 15c | 139.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -40%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x130c…782cbacked DN Freecs | 14c | 135$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked DN Freecs | 29c | 134.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.31 | 196 | 40.3%79 W · 117 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32f0…564cbacked DN Freecs | 15c | 130.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 363 | 31.1%113 W · 250 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…60afbacked DN Freecs | 23c | 129.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 397 | 47.9%190 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed DN Freecs | 16c | 127.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 596 | 47.7%284 W · 312 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf4…00fbbacked DN Freecs | 15c | 116.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b2…bbdbbacked DN Freecs | 19c | 107.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed DN Freecs | 23c | 106.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b81…c753backed DN Freecs | 16c | 103.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…f726backed DN Freecs | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 757 | 38.6%292 W · 465 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Dplus KIA | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 484 | 48.6%235 W · 249 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked DN Freecs | 11c | 99.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed DN Freecs | 15c | 74.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 62 | 14.5%9 W · 53 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +92.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42a…cb0cbacked DN Freecs | 25c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +84.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1df…245ebacked DN Freecs | 29c | 48.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 952 | 53.8%512 W · 440 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…4c5abacked Dplus KIA | 77c | 39.13$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 191 | 68.6%131 W · 60 L | +17.0wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c7…007dbacked Dplus KIA | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f43…3c28backed DN Freecs | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…c0f6backed Dplus KIA | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b66…5472backed DN Freecs | 65c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Dplus KIA | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 748 | 49.6%371 W · 377 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0b…8299backed Dplus KIA | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 73cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.