NFL · resolved market
Saints vs. Bills
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b05c52720172eaa168e62e9e91702f48ef69210888880d2e9b74a0e210066e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Billsof Saints, Bills
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,245,553
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,122,277
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,245,553 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Saints | 9c | 333,896$30,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,050.66 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Saints | 11c | 156,068$16,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,434.45 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Saints | 9c | 150,399$13,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,535.9 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Saints | 9c | 91,653$8,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,248.76 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Saints | 10c | 76,620$8,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,028.04 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Saints | 9c | 71,475$6,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,432.74 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5646…3819backed Saints | 8c | 51,038$4,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,083.07 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Saints | 12c | 16,404$1,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,971.17 | 419 | 47.3%198 W · 221 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Saints | 6c | 13,265$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.76 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Saints | 15c | 10,286$1,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,554.98 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Saints | 11c | 9,910$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.29 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Saints | 8c | 9,500$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f4…55c1backed Saints | 11c | 8,737$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Saints | 8c | 8,526$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.78 | 229 | 50.2%115 W · 114 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Saints | 12c | 8,105$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.55 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Saints | 9c | 7,178$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.02 | 176 | 9.1%16 W · 160 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Saints | 8c | 7,130$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.37 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Saints | 9c | 3,000$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.82 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Saints | 9c | 2,800$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Saints | 9c | 2,427$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.26 | 318 | 54.7%174 W · 144 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Saints | 1c | 2,375$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 112 | 8%9 W · 103 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +413.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Saints | 9c | 2,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Saints | 1c | 1,698$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Saints | 15c | 1,570$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.47 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fbf…3155backed Saints | 13c | 1,526$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Saints | 9c | 1,500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c62…fe5abacked Saints | 8c | 1,400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Saints | 8c | 1,297$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.76 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Saints | 9c | 1,133$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.83 | 145 | 32.4%47 W · 98 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e19…ee3ebacked Saints | 14c | 1,100$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ae…004ebacked Saints | 5c | 1,050$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 148 | 18.2%27 W · 121 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Saints | 10c | 1,040$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Saints | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 121 | 33.9%41 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Saints | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Saints | 4c | 983.01$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 276 | 44.2%122 W · 154 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Saints | 9c | 880$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 276 | 33.3%92 W · 184 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40b8…da32backed Saints | 9c | 777.78$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…3ab8backed Saints | 13c | 750$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.2 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Saints | 9c | 664$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.76 | 205 | 55.6%114 W · 91 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Saints | 3c | 601$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 101 | 3%3 W · 98 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Saints | 8c | 593.79$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Saints | 15c | 568.45$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.77 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b3…28f4backed Saints | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0c…2265backed Saints | 17c | 513.92$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.34 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…5862backed Saints | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1547…6299backed Saints | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Saints | 10c | 450$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 284 | 36.3%103 W · 181 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed Saints | 9c | 444.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | -10.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Saints | 8c | 423.84$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.88 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…3378backed Saints | 9c | 410$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…abffbacked Saints | 37c | 408.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf4…00fbbacked Saints | 9c | 309.78$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.88 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Saints | 7c | 300$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.06 | 323 | 47.4%153 W · 170 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Saints | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 224 | 46.4%104 W · 120 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781e…2484backed Saints | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…ca3ebacked Saints | 4c | 278.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdc…ae37backed Saints | 9c | 277.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc814…0ab8backed Saints | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…641fbacked Saints | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Saints | 9c | 222$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 304 | 42.4%129 W · 175 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…55a0backed Saints | 9c | 220$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9017…9173backed Saints | 9c | 218.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c36…9719backed Saints | 5c | 212$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Saints | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b26…9bc4backed Saints | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc795…229fbacked Saints | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Saints | 9c | 166$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 163 | 60.1%98 W · 65 L | +16.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1571…c4e6backed Saints | 14c | 162.55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddb…bae3backed Saints | 9c | 155.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fab…31b1backed Saints | 9c | 154.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5afe…6ffabacked Saints | 9c | 154.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf35e…94cabacked Saints | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b8…de59backed Saints | 9c | 153.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…1ce3backed Saints | 9c | 150$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5340…5e2bbacked Saints | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc6…b223backed Saints | 9c | 148.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc521…d7b5backed Saints | 9c | 119.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x980d…985fbacked Saints | 10c | 110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x154f…9a12backed Saints | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…b015backed Saints | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Saints | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 315 | 40.6%128 W · 187 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x825f…0997backed Saints | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked Saints | 22c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9963…14acbacked Saints | 18c | 62.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Bills | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Saints vs. Billsthis page
- Saints vs. Bills: O/U 47.5Over won
- Saints vs. Bills: O/U 50.5Under won
- Spread: Bills (-13.5)Saints won
- Spread: Bills (-14.5)Saints won
- Spread: Bills (-15.5)Saints won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.