Cricket · resolved market
New Zealand T20 Series: New Zealand vs West Indies (Game 3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70683f1d1216c15347eacd60c16513b0cf7edc9d9c3ece93e854b34b6e6c05b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New Zealandof New Zealand, West Indies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,140
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,576
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,140 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd21…efdbbacked New Zealand | 67c | 937.26$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.46 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed West Indies | 32c | 917.89$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.93 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked West Indies | 29c | 599.08$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.73 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dff…e1bdbacked New Zealand | 71c | 422.82$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.82 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 70cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53a8…96d2backed New Zealand | 70c | 331.08$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ed…e878backed West Indies | 34c | 296.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked New Zealand | 70c | 142.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.29 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc91…1a88backed New Zealand | 71c | 140.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.96 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed West Indies | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 159 | 40.9%65 W · 94 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked West Indies | 45c | 98.4$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.97 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4eab…e02dbacked West Indies | 42c | 85$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed New Zealand | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe90…d9d9backed West Indies | 36c | 55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae6…7485backed New Zealand | 73c | 53.17$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf4…00fbbacked West Indies | 29c | 53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdcf…c8bebacked West Indies | 34c | 51.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1599…a8b6backed New Zealand | 63c | 45.54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 323 | 37.2%120 W · 203 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed West Indies | 35c | 45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6116…1e62backed New Zealand | 70c | 43.74$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d2…1facbacked West Indies | 36c | 43.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xceda…92acbacked West Indies | 30c | 41.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef68…d668backed New Zealand | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.03 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked New Zealand | 62c | 35.76$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8678…b755backed New Zealand | 70c | 35.27$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 155 | 61.9%96 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f7…f858backed New Zealand | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked New Zealand | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…9442backed New Zealand | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 71cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed New Zealand | 62c | 18.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6971…3075backed New Zealand | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02e2…8869backed New Zealand | 72c | 14.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.