NFL · resolved market
Browns vs. Ravens
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e557959c5f78255856b860a97a3e72b34a263ffceced545dc2f98a206ebe61f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ravensof Browns, Ravens
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $623,847
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $661,718
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $623,847 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked Browns | 12c | 225,672$27,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,080.7 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Browns | 12c | 39,035$4,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,682.73 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Browns | 12c | 20,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.99 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Browns | 12c | 20,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.96 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Browns | 13c | 19,408$2,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,428.93 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc29…7774backed Browns | 12c | 16,667$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1470…7cbebacked Browns | 14c | 15,714$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Browns | 10c | 10,473$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.89 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9e…46b5backed Browns | 13c | 10,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Browns | 2c | 6,159$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.34 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…62d9backed Browns | 14c | 5,331$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.07 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd0…7b4fbacked Browns | 14c | 4,878$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.88 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc125…15fcbacked Browns | 8c | 4,714$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Browns | 13c | 4,523$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.94 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Browns | 12c | 4,165$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.8 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -8.1wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Browns | 12c | 2,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 184 | 35.9%66 W · 118 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff3…7d00backed Browns | 13c | 2,160$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.8 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…e305backed Browns | 6c | 1,259$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.65 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Browns | 1c | 1,256$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x521b…381cbacked Browns | 8c | 999.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -41%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed Browns | 12c | 999.93$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97b6…59b4backed Browns | 12c | 999.75$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.58 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ae…004ebacked Browns | 6c | 950$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 148 | 18.2%27 W · 121 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Browns | 13c | 900$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 276 | 33.3%92 W · 184 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf165…2194backed Browns | 14c | 857.14$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64a6…cb5fbacked Browns | 10c | 768.09$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b92…046ebacked Browns | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Browns | 13c | 711.8$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.95 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c96…abc5backed Browns | 10c | 700$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Browns | 10c | 666.45$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.25 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Browns | 13c | 661.54$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Browns | 13c | 584.62$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 224 | 46.4%104 W · 120 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Browns | 12c | 544.27$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.31 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Browns | 12c | 533.18$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.98 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Browns | 13c | 512.77$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.66 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Browns | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 415 | 40.2%167 W · 248 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Browns | 4c | 479.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 142 | 15.5%22 W · 120 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Browns | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf4…00fbbacked Browns | 14c | 348$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.57 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7d…423fbacked Browns | 15c | 343.28$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.83 | 143 | 37.8%54 W · 89 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac46…fa1bbacked Browns | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Browns | 12c | 333.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Browns | 13c | 312$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.56 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36bd…2fa3backed Browns | 11c | 279.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Browns | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 192 | 40.1%77 W · 115 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x842c…2e53backed Browns | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Browns | 6c | 233.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Browns | 12c | 201.08$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 133 | 35.3%47 W · 86 L | -9.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Browns | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 284 | 36.3%103 W · 181 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Browns | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 278 | 35.3%98 W · 180 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16a1…24f8backed Browns | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Browns | 12c | 179.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa78c…cb69backed Browns | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb740…2422backed Browns | 12c | 169.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 162 | 43.8%71 W · 91 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc92…7505backed Browns | 11c | 159.37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 32cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Browns | 13c | 154$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 304 | 42.4%129 W · 175 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Browns | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 175 | 48%84 W · 91 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…55a0backed Browns | 13c | 150$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…d817backed Browns | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe30e…4eedbacked Browns | 12c | 132.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb579…f458backed Browns | 10c | 130$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -7.3wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x50a5…3709backed Browns | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b4b…15a4backed Browns | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Browns | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 158 | 55.7%88 W · 70 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9b…705ebacked Browns | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Browns | 12c | 115.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 145 | 32.4%47 W · 98 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde0b…b4a7backed Browns | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 33cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0f…4cbdbacked Browns | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Browns | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06a2…0acbbacked Browns | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 284 | 33.1%94 W · 190 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4030…14c0backed Browns | 13c | 90$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08d3…f2ddbacked Browns | 31c | 85.11$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Browns vs. Ravensthis page
- Browns vs. Ravens: O/U 44.5Over won
- Browns vs. Ravens: O/U 45.5Over won
- Browns vs. Ravens: O/U 46.5Over won
- Spread: Ravens (-10.5)Ravens won
- Spread: Ravens (-11.5)Ravens won
- Spread: Ravens (-13.5)Ravens won
- Spread: Ravens (-14.5)Ravens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.