Tennis · resolved market
Pan Pacific Open: McCartney Kessler vs Linda Noskova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2dd9f6157273de4822e3a6c4c98309b24ff063cf04822ac2db06279af64b5061
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noskovaof Kessler, Noskova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $176,507
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $173,771
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $176,507 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7606…2836backed Noskova | 62c | 145,171$90,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,171.36 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Kessler | 38c | 110,665$42,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,052.73 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Kessler | 38c | 15,099$5,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,750.64 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kessler | 41c | 10,851$4,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,492.42 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Kessler | 40c | 6,471$2,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,565.82 | 158 | 32.3%51 W · 107 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Kessler | 18c | 4,817$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.46 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd547…8a9fbacked Kessler | 59c | 1,729$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f5…e4c2backed Kessler | 61c | 1,301$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Kessler | 55c | 756.2$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.52 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb9…4734backed Kessler | 38c | 643.5$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.45 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Kessler | 38c | 600$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 238 | 52.1%124 W · 114 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…e957backed Noskova | 52c | 574.07$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.2 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Noskova | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Kessler | 53c | 470.75$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.9 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Noskova | 50c | 373$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.46 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Noskova | 51c | 342.77$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.72 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Noskova | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 177 | 41.8%74 W · 103 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Noskova | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 177 | 67.2%119 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Noskova | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 465 | 56.1%261 W · 204 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c8…695fbacked Noskova | 57c | 165$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +51%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Noskova | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kessler | 41c | 144.08$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Noskova | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Noskova | 57c | 139$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.77 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Noskova | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.82 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb00…d611backed Noskova | 50c | 98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Kessler | 46c | 94.65$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…3181backed Noskova | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4731…cba8backed Kessler | 45c | 88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Kessler | 38c | 86.41$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.84 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Noskova | 60c | 73$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.36 | 704 | 65.2%459 W · 245 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…2c36backed Noskova | 58c | 60.34$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ee…efe0backed Noskova | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73b9…3ba6backed Noskova | 61c | 48.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Noskova | 59c | 42.51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.51 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Kessler | 45c | 42.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 383 | 56.9%218 W · 165 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32a2…be70backed Noskova | 58c | 41.78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ffe…b69dbacked Kessler | 52c | 38.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Kessler | 45c | 37.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 499 | 55.1%275 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98e0…bf01backed Noskova | 60c | 33.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.28 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe5…da52backed Kessler | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb512…44a5backed Noskova | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Noskova | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 128 | 52.3%67 W · 61 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88e2…1956backed Kessler | 43c | 23.11$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.