TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Stars vs. Blues

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bluesof Stars, Blues
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$273,462
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$279,339

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $273,462 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 650 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7606…2836backed Stars58c120,231$69,657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69,657.392254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68df…4815backed Blues42c45,367$19,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,312.951050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Stars52c30,436$15,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,699.5458841.8%246 W · 342 L-20.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Blues49c30,370$14,947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,422.491,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Blues42c21,491$9,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,464.7892848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Blues42c19,470$8,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,246.5840550.9%206 W · 199 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Blues47c12,500$5,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,624.9931546.3%146 W · 169 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Blues46c9,204$4,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,970.3424945.4%113 W · 136 L-16.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a89…2f26backed Blues47c8,995$4,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,767.2970547.7%336 W · 369 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1fa4…e9d2backed Blues48c8,366$4,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,360.681844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Stars53c6,602$3,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,529.630848.4%149 W · 159 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Blues44c6,497$2,878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,618.731,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Blues46c5,500$2,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,9701,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Stars52c4,365$2,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,269.919242.4%39 W · 53 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Blues47c4,091$1,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,162.193,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Blues47c4,000$1,876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,124.362657.7%15 W · 11 L+4.4wins+0.17per pick41cpaid+66%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Stars53c3,358$1,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,779.6942847.2%202 W · 226 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08a4…5c3fbacked Blues46c2,897$1,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,564.3830551.5%157 W · 148 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Stars52c2,174$1,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,135.971,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe42e…8d89backed Stars53c2,141$1,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,134.733246.9%15 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Blues44c2,093$931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,162.2689249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Blues47c2,000$938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,061.7897651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Blues42c1,500$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8703953.8%21 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Blues56c1,495$842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.585464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Blues46c1,323$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.3163249.5%313 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Stars53c1,281$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.261,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Blues46c1,267$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684.392,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Blues59c1,247$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.991,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Stars53c1,154$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.3641246.4%191 W · 221 L-24.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xade8…b0bdbacked Blues52c1,148$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.217149.3%35 W · 36 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9195…72a4backed Blues47c1,064$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.8312742.5%54 W · 73 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Stars53c1,056$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.069149.5%45 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Blues56c1,050$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.81,05442.5%448 W · 606 L-25.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Blues47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53016743.1%72 W · 95 L-12.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Blues46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54054349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Stars24c986.19$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.9989636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Blues46c874.4$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.181,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Stars11c763.64$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$844827.1%13 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed Blues42c682$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.563345.5%15 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Blues52c606.76$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.841,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Stars45c600$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27020137.8%76 W · 125 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Stars53c600$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31868449.9%341 W · 343 L-3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2619…9f4ebacked Stars53c600$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3185040%20 W · 30 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Stars55c599.02$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.461,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf457…d1a6backed Stars54c555.56$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008648.8%42 W · 44 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Stars52c553.92$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.41,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Blues46c549$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.4687447%411 W · 463 L+3.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Stars53c471$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.631,07954.3%586 W · 493 L+4.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bc7…e411backed Stars54c425$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.59250%46 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Stars53c410.49$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.7962249.4%307 W · 315 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Blues62c407.84$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.9882043%353 W · 467 L-1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Stars53c403.7$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21418750.3%94 W · 93 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Stars53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20023653.8%127 W · 109 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd547…8a9fbacked Blues68c365.43$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.431471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+18.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Blues42c359.52$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.5210158.4%59 W · 42 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc648…259cbacked Stars53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1591844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8480…293ebacked Stars53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1592941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Stars52c299.98$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.9974951.8%388 W · 361 L+18.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked Stars54c230$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.24443.2%19 W · 25 L-5.1wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-20.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbf6…513abacked Stars53c225$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.254634.8%16 W · 30 L-6.6wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-32.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4d45…9054backed Blues47c223.21$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.2615646.2%72 W · 84 L-8.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Stars54c211.11$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1145653.6%30 W · 26 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a35…c104backed Blues48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.331346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1b0…0197backed Blues47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1063458.8%20 W · 14 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+27.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb454…5193backed Blues47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1063450%17 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8194…22adbacked Blues47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1063938.5%15 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-17.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9aa5…f03cbacked Blues47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1064060%24 W · 16 L+5.2wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+28.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4b6e…5f91backed Stars53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1063237.5%12 W · 20 L-5.0wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-30.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x117d…7010backed Stars53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1063138.7%12 W · 19 L-4.6wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-29.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3647…b903backed Stars53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1063644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4688…af37backed Blues47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1063259.4%19 W · 13 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+27.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb1b6…6595backed Stars53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1063354.5%18 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc822…d1bfbacked Stars53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1063345.5%15 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fa1…b885backed Stars53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1063243.8%14 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf4f3…a721backed Stars53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1063046.7%14 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0dfb…3943backed Stars53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1063354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7767…c984backed Stars53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1062853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49af…c3eabacked Stars53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1063243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5ddb…07d2backed Blues47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1062759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x46e0…d02ebacked Blues47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1063441.2%14 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0039…3576backed Stars53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1063151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0622…8f43backed Stars53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1063357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4da…1698backed Blues47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1063650%18 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a9e…54a8backed Stars53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1063154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bf0…4fbdbacked Blues47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1063141.9%13 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa24f…3d87backed Stars53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1064045%18 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd45…c687backed Stars53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1063240.6%13 W · 19 L-4.5wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-27.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd15a…6d6bbacked Stars53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1063348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…2764backed Stars53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1063053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73bf…23c5backed Stars53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1063745.9%17 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x133b…faa8backed Blues46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1087745.5%35 W · 42 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf023…0232backed Blues47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1063948.7%19 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10ae…301dbacked Blues47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1063444.1%15 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4cf…a347backed Blues47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1063171%22 W · 9 L+7.8wins+0.25per pick46cpaid+52.7%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x7552…c727backed Blues47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1063455.9%19 W · 15 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd14c…13efbacked Blues47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1063844.7%17 W · 21 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb670…c06abacked Blues47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1063652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x582f…3948backed Blues47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1063366.7%22 W · 11 L+5.4wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+35.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfafd…ff3ebacked Blues47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1063551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a53…a70abacked Blues47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1063447.1%16 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.