College Football · resolved market
TCU vs. West Virginia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41b0f2ec21f02fdc2b879bcdbbed2e51aa04a1c18ea4308ae47a08c5dac81338
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TCUof TCU, West Virginia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $93,666
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,553
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,666 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd38b…5029backed West Virginia | 15c | 28,026$4,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,203.93 | 327 | 45.6%149 W · 178 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed West Virginia | 14c | 10,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.99 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked West Virginia | 10c | 7,789$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.33 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…aa44backed West Virginia | 12c | 4,525$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.22 | 127 | 18.9%24 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked West Virginia | 1c | 3,945$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.14 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2b…11d9backed West Virginia | 15c | 2,350$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed West Virginia | 16c | 2,250$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.11 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3461…4629backed West Virginia | 5c | 1,650$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.35per pick | 50cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked West Virginia | 4c | 1,540$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd547…8a9fbacked West Virginia | 19c | 1,348$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked West Virginia | 15c | 1,200$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8d…a1e9backed West Virginia | 13c | 686.09$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed West Virginia | 3c | 648.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked West Virginia | 5c | 621$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.77 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed West Virginia | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd87…dd8bbacked West Virginia | 6c | 350$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 44 | 11.4%5 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2862…b2ddbacked West Virginia | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed West Virginia | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 157 | 34.4%54 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed West Virginia | 14c | 265.19$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.81 | 216 | 29.2%63 W · 153 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc04c…d0fdbacked West Virginia | 8c | 255$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…1660backed West Virginia | 5c | 250.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 96 | 35.4%34 W · 62 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked West Virginia | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -7.9wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed West Virginia | 11c | 198$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed West Virginia | 15c | 150.18$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.53 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked West Virginia | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 176 | 34.7%61 W · 115 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58bc…a883backed West Virginia | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ef…1be5backed West Virginia | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- TCU vs. West Virginiathis page
- Spread: TCU (-14.5)West Virginia won
- Spread: TCU (-17.5)West Virginia won
- TCU vs. West Virginia: O/U 55.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.