College Football · resolved market
Pittsburgh vs. Syracuse
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ced26a14ea0b5928495e709bf6d5e0abe87184754100db6c0042c58b662119b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pittsburghof Pittsburgh, Syracuse
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $101,747
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $101,803
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,747 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Syracuse | 24c | 36,420$8,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,740.73 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Syracuse | 25c | 26,910$6,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,727.5 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Pittsburgh | 76c | 21,000$15,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,040 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Pittsburgh | 75c | 19,869$14,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,967.2 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Pittsburgh | 76c | 16,774$12,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,026.87 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Syracuse | 15c | 10,533$1,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,582.46 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Pittsburgh | 75c | 7,761$5,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,940.25 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Pittsburgh | 77c | 6,040$4,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.2 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Syracuse | 24c | 5,770$1,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,384.8 | 381 | 42.5%162 W · 219 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Syracuse | 23c | 3,300$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759 | 147 | 43.5%64 W · 83 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Pittsburgh | 77c | 3,289$2,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.56 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pittsburgh | 76c | 2,654$2,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.03 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pittsburgh | 79c | 1,712$1,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.07 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Syracuse | 24c | 1,500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -6.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Syracuse | 23c | 1,094$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.62 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Pittsburgh | 75c | 1,027$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.8 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Pittsburgh | 76c | 999.98$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Pittsburgh | 76c | 899$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.76 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd547…8a9fbacked Syracuse | 32c | 789.06$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Pittsburgh | 75c | 726.21$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.55 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Pittsburgh | 75c | 721.73$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.43 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Pittsburgh | 77c | 600$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec30…f1aabacked Syracuse | 25c | 456$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Pittsburgh | 78c | 414$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.08 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cd…b74cbacked Syracuse | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 258 | 19.8%51 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Syracuse | 25c | 302.65$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.76 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2862…b2ddbacked Syracuse | 23c | 300$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…bdafbacked Pittsburgh | 76c | 225.9$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.22 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Pittsburgh | 67c | 208.96$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.96 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Syracuse | 23c | 204$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.92 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd87…dd8bbacked Syracuse | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 44 | 11.4%5 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e49…ae9dbacked Syracuse | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Syracuse | 22c | 109$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Syracuse | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6cc…18cebacked Syracuse | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec75…2e8fbacked Pittsburgh | 76c | 77.72$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee7…12c5backed Pittsburgh | 75c | 66.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Pittsburgh | 74c | 62$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfca9…cb3dbacked Syracuse | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -7.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -46%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf998…7b41backed Pittsburgh | 76c | 30.26$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 75cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff2…8a43backed Pittsburgh | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c61…5213backed Pittsburgh | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa52e…e2c4backed Pittsburgh | 77c | 21.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fda…ee9fbacked Pittsburgh | 70c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd62b…86d0backed Pittsburgh | 79c | 14.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 78 | 67.9%53 W · 25 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pittsburgh vs. Syracusethis page
- Pittsburgh vs. Syracuse: O/U 54.5Under won
- Spread: Pittsburgh (-10.5)Pittsburgh won
- Spread: Pittsburgh (-11.5)Pittsburgh won
- Spread: Pittsburgh (-9.5)Pittsburgh won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.