Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
William & Mary Tribe vs. Hampton Pirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xedfabde374262daa6c0ddcc1cfecc31efb905c4146b6ec9c53ba902e279c3987
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hampton Piratesof William & Mary Tribe, Hampton Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,316
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,021
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,316 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Hampton Pirates | 32c | 3,258$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,215.56 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked William & Mary Tribe | 68c | 3,191$2,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,170 | 274 | 50%137 W · 137 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Hampton Pirates | 30c | 1,083$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.61 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae5…910abacked William & Mary Tribe | 2c | 999.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 0%0 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked William & Mary Tribe | 62c | 677.32$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.31 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Hampton Pirates | 70c | 401.53$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.96 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0db6…e1babacked William & Mary Tribe | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 25cpaid | +127.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed William & Mary Tribe | 58c | 382.02$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.69 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Hampton Pirates | 28c | 309.51$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.91 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed William & Mary Tribe | 47c | 307$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.21 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e5…9401backed Hampton Pirates | 21c | 234.88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.88 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Hampton Pirates | 40c | 229.4$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.63 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Hampton Pirates | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 402 | 52.7%212 W · 190 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x411e…ea8bbacked William & Mary Tribe | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ce…8f73backed William & Mary Tribe | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 13cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Hampton Pirates | 48c | 186.78$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.82 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked William & Mary Tribe | 78c | 180$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.8 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…5d96backed William & Mary Tribe | 76c | 179.43$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.37 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Hampton Pirates | 68c | 146.14$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.86 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked William & Mary Tribe | 72c | 138.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.79 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Hampton Pirates | 49c | 130.07$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.78 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Hampton Pirates | 30c | 122.01$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.78 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Hampton Pirates | 28c | 112.87$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.96 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Hampton Pirates | 42c | 107.85$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.57 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Hampton Pirates | 22c | 105$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.94 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed William & Mary Tribe | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.82 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed William & Mary Tribe | 62c | 95.4$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.94 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Hampton Pirates | 33c | 81$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.27 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked William & Mary Tribe | 75c | 75$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.88 | 459 | 53.8%247 W · 212 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7226…873dbacked Hampton Pirates | 35c | 64.67$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.76 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Hampton Pirates | 29c | 60$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed William & Mary Tribe | 69c | 43.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Hampton Pirates | 35c | 39.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.87 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Hampton Pirates | 33c | 36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.12 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed William & Mary Tribe | 55c | 27.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7483…96a6backed William & Mary Tribe | 67c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed William & Mary Tribe | 65c | 20.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed William & Mary Tribe | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked William & Mary Tribe | 65c | 19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…866abacked William & Mary Tribe | 67c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked William & Mary Tribe | 68c | 17.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 390 | 50.5%197 W · 193 L | -34.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc789…3907backed William & Mary Tribe | 67c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- William & Mary Tribe vs. Hampton Piratesthis page
- Spread: William & Mary Tribe (-4.5)Hampton Pirates won
- William & Mary Tribe vs. Hampton Pirates: O/U 151.5Under won
- William & Mary Tribe vs. Hampton Pirates: O/U 152.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.