Lol · resolved market
LoL: Myth Esports vs mCon esports (BO3) - Road Of Legends Tier 2 Group
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc0de14c0ad293f5072c39aa51d358886a84feb9e4e37f88dcaf9fd258ececcc1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- mCon esportsof Myth Esports, mCon esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,171
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,672
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,171 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xff34…694bbacked mCon esports | 79c | 3,277$2,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.95 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…38adbacked Myth Esports | 23c | 2,045$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.15 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Myth Esports | 23c | 2,028$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.17 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed Myth Esports | 46c | 1,476$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.76 | 825 | 54.8%452 W · 373 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e88…5ddabacked mCon esports | 80c | 692.42$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.16 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ff…b00abacked mCon esports | 55c | 381.3$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.58 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2922…30f1backed mCon esports | 48c | 331.19$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked mCon esports | 58c | 318.64$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.23 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked mCon esports | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 780 | 50%390 W · 390 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed mCon esports | 58c | 300$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.35 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf2…699ebacked mCon esports | 55c | 209$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Myth Esports | 42c | 182.36$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.59 | 460 | 33.9%156 W · 304 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d24…6564backed mCon esports | 54c | 177$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.42 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked mCon esports | 55c | 146$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.7 | 536 | 49.8%267 W · 269 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Myth Esports | 45c | 116$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…1a20backed mCon esports | 54c | 106.52$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6bc…d324backed mCon esports | 54c | 105$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +52%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0db6…e1babacked mCon esports | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +4.4wins | +0.28per pick | 28cpaid | +125.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe1…6b57backed mCon esports | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.53per pick | 27cpaid | +189.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6d…f1c8backed Myth Esports | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked mCon esports | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Myth Esports | 46c | 47.39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6084backed mCon esports | 56c | 40.55$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -40%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e37…e36cbacked mCon esports | 55c | 36.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.69 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe26b…a9ecbacked Myth Esports | 47c | 36.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 520 | 49.2%256 W · 264 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Myth Esports | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 193 | 39.9%77 W · 116 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked mCon esports | 54c | 31.4$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Myth Esports | 46c | 31.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 441 | 28.1%124 W · 317 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb167…e5f3backed mCon esports | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa46e…8bacbacked mCon esports | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed Myth Esports | 43c | 25.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Myth Esports | 48c | 25.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 540 | 54.3%293 W · 247 L | +26.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Myth Esports vs mCon esports (BO3) - Road Of Legends Tier 2 Groupthis page
- LoL: Myth Esports vs mCon esports - Game 1 WinnermCon esports won
- LoL: Myth Esports vs mCon esports - Game 2 WinnermCon esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.