Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
San Francisco Dons vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc69dcba220608b0420f004b31a92017a9f02e97305931b3e42569bb3271e4810
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Francisco Donsof San Francisco Dons, Minnesota Golden Gophers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,957
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,846
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,957 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Minnesota Golden Gophers | 47c | 2,808$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.55 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked San Francisco Dons | 53c | 2,427$1,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.59 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Minnesota Golden Gophers | 45c | 1,260$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.67 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…fba7backed San Francisco Dons | 53c | 1,200$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed San Francisco Dons | 54c | 1,199$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.54 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -18%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd041…7b26backed Minnesota Golden Gophers | 46c | 1,075$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers | 13c | 959.63$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.75 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Minnesota Golden Gophers | 14c | 600$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.06 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked San Francisco Dons | 56c | 469.84$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.75 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2900…af64backed Minnesota Golden Gophers | 47c | 416.08$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers | 44c | 375.67$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.84 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Minnesota Golden Gophers | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 334 | 38.9%130 W · 204 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Minnesota Golden Gophers | 47c | 289$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.84 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed San Francisco Dons | 61c | 253.16$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.71 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…f4f4backed San Francisco Dons | 54c | 201.67$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.77 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Minnesota Golden Gophers | 47c | 179$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.06 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked San Francisco Dons | 57c | 144$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Minnesota Golden Gophers | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed San Francisco Dons | 61c | 91$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.75 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7685…482cbacked San Francisco Dons | 73c | 86.51$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.36 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8639…fb86backed Minnesota Golden Gophers | 44c | 75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.25 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers | 43c | 75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5320…f3b2backed Minnesota Golden Gophers | 17c | 71.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked San Francisco Dons | 51c | 68$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.32 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Minnesota Golden Gophers | 46c | 66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.14 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3b…f1c5backed Minnesota Golden Gophers | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed San Francisco Dons | 55c | 24.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 150 | 37.3%56 W · 94 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked San Francisco Dons | 77c | 23.49$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 231 | 58.9%136 W · 95 L | +23.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc319…9454backed San Francisco Dons | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e2…2953backed San Francisco Dons | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Francisco Dons vs. Minnesota Golden Gophersthis page
- Spread: San Francisco Dons (-1.5)San Francisco Dons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.