CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7cecbc7676a204aec0480e0a6a66e40dffa797aa1fcb43f50b69bf0073cdfd16
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof FURIA, PARIVISION
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,926
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,807
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,926 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7645…3117backed FURIA | 35c | 7,394$2,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,588.03 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe9…c6dcbacked PARIVISION | 65c | 2,462$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.41 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afe…aec0backed PARIVISION | 65c | 2,142$1,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.34 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked FURIA | 38c | 1,827$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.65 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec4…6529backed PARIVISION | 65c | 1,331$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.78 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb27f…2c41backed PARIVISION | 65c | 1,077$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.92 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked PARIVISION | 61c | 1,055$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.57 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed FURIA | 39c | 951.35$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.9 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed PARIVISION | 62c | 800$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 105 | 38.1%40 W · 65 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x552b…604bbacked PARIVISION | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.54 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed PARIVISION | 63c | 395.81$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.5 | 139 | 37.4%52 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee4b…43dcbacked FURIA | 36c | 393$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.48 | 380 | 51.3%195 W · 185 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…cf2cbacked FURIA | 38c | 340$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73da…5106backed PARIVISION | 62c | 307$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +112.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3597…28c4backed PARIVISION | 62c | 299$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab2…6a30backed FURIA | 38c | 296$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked PARIVISION | 64c | 291.87$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.07 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a18…893cbacked PARIVISION | 62c | 288$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +112.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4c…a1e2backed PARIVISION | 62c | 280$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x788c…06f6backed FURIA | 38c | 271$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe99d…1a7dbacked PARIVISION | 62c | 261$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab7…05adbacked FURIA | 38c | 255$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c67…e40ebacked FURIA | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bf…2124backed FURIA | 38c | 238$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b40…e5f8backed FURIA | 38c | 217$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed PARIVISION | 64c | 203.1$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.11 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f1…a21abacked PARIVISION | 62c | 182$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab54…f263backed PARIVISION | 62c | 160$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x464b…06f5backed PARIVISION | 63c | 158.63$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.69 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…0289backed FURIA | 49c | 142.07$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…1a20backed FURIA | 39c | 117.18$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.7 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe341…354dbacked PARIVISION | 65c | 109.01$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.47 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed PARIVISION | 61c | 91.98$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.99 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed PARIVISION | 61c | 90$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed PARIVISION | 61c | 89.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ef…6595backed FURIA | 38c | 82$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed PARIVISION | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97f4…a165backed FURIA | 38c | 78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked FURIA | 40c | 65.31$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.12 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0560…f6b2backed FURIA | 40c | 52.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked PARIVISION | 65c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked FURIA | 37c | 49.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 251 | 43.8%110 W · 141 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed FURIA | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 503 | 40.2%202 W · 301 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4985…dce4backed PARIVISION | 65c | 39.53$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.88 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47e1…c2babacked PARIVISION | 63c | 39.39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 471 | 46.7%220 W · 251 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc76e…caa5backed PARIVISION | 62c | 32.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 187 | 50.3%94 W · 93 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8366…4d53backed PARIVISION | 64c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed PARIVISION | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed PARIVISION | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 655 | 46.9%307 W · 348 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x602a…9a6ebacked FURIA | 78c | 19.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group StageFURIA won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs PARIVISION - Map 1 WinnerFURIA won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs PARIVISION - Map 2 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.