MLB · resolved market
Mariners vs. Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf8a262506cc268c1d8cf275d16e5357afdff7b30b854af560cc0183284fb465
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marinersof Mariners, Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $846,059
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $883,306
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $846,059 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Mariners | 50c | 468,586$233,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235,192.92 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Astros | 51c | 289,559$146,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146,341.25 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Astros | 50c | 122,983$61,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,079.73 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Astros | 50c | 111,549$56,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,294 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Astros | 50c | 58,173$29,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,086.5 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Mariners | 50c | 56,000$28,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,000 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Mariners | 49c | 50,000$24,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,500 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcc…441bbacked Mariners | 51c | 39,215$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,215.34 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Astros | 50c | 38,624$19,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,312 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Astros | 50c | 38,520$19,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,260 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Astros | 50c | 35,000$17,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,500 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Mariners | 51c | 20,903$10,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,288.49 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Astros | 50c | 15,486$7,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,743 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Astros | 25c | 15,485$3,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,878.03 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Mariners | 50c | 15,000$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,500 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3672…edbdbacked Mariners | 80c | 13,578$10,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,727.91 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -11.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Mariners | 74c | 11,562$8,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,006.12 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mariners | 49c | 9,000$4,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,590 | 1,153 | 49.2%567 W · 586 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed Mariners | 49c | 9,000$4,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,590 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Mariners | 49c | 7,000$3,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,569.98 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Astros | 48c | 5,240$2,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,494.19 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Mariners | 50c | 4,843$2,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,421.68 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Mariners | 50c | 4,835$2,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,433.85 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Astros | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Mariners | 54c | 3,889$2,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.08 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Mariners | 52c | 3,852$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,852.02 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Astros | 20c | 3,672$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.39 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Astros | 25c | 3,470$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.6 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mariners | 49c | 3,424$1,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,734.97 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Mariners | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Astros | 41c | 2,895$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.95 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Mariners | 50c | 2,600$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Astros | 50c | 2,495$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.15 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Astros | 51c | 2,260$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152.47 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Mariners | 49c | 2,252$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.33 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Astros | 51c | 1,853$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.15 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Astros | 25c | 1,703$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.71 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f13…3a2dbacked Astros | 50c | 1,564$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.9 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Mariners | 49c | 1,400$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked Mariners | 49c | 1,303$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.53 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Astros | 18c | 1,285$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.66 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Astros | 16c | 1,282$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.48 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb27f…8908backed Mariners | 50c | 1,231$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.42 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Mariners | 49c | 1,200$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Astros | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9afdbacked Astros | 51c | 980.74$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Astros | 11c | 910.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Astros | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 667 | 48.7%325 W · 342 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f25…8ca8backed Astros | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Astros | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Mariners | 49c | 800$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 240 | 40.8%98 W · 142 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Astros | 49c | 799.99$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.99 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc8…9073backed Astros | 50c | 799.92$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.96 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba9e…97c0backed Mariners | 51c | 785.04$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.67 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeefb…d354backed Astros | 50c | 777.98$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.99 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Astros | 49c | 612.07$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.91 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd1…009bbacked Astros | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Mariners | 49c | 588$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.82 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mariners | 77c | 568$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.94 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8613…59f0backed Astros | 50c | 560$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Astros | 49c | 550$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.5 | 1,293 | 47.3%611 W · 682 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Astros | 50c | 536.01$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.36 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Mariners | 48c | 520.52$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.67 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Mariners | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 959 | 50.1%480 W · 479 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbb…3607backed Astros | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…9aefbacked Astros | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Astros | 50c | 450$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Astros | 40c | 427.36$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeccc…678abacked Astros | 5c | 422.53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4b…d004backed Astros | 20c | 410$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Mariners | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Mariners | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6692…1125backed Astros | 50c | 400$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | -14.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Astros | 51c | 395$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.45 | 1,445 | 50%723 W · 722 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Astros | 4c | 380.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Astros | 21c | 373.38$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.91 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…1cedbacked Astros | 22c | 361.38$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.91 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd62e…badfbacked Astros | 4c | 360$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…38ecbacked Astros | 51c | 353.86$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.47 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Astros | 26c | 342.65$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.3 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x670f…3f29backed Mariners | 50c | 329.16$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.58 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Astros | 26c | 303.47$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.43 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe797…2b36backed Mariners | 69c | 300.33$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.85 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Astros | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 167 | 25.1%42 W · 125 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Astros | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Mariners | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bd…2182backed Astros | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -42%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a54…42f1backed Astros | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked Astros | 50c | 296$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -5.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ca…5ecbbacked Astros | 7c | 289.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x351b…4d06backed Mariners | 51c | 274.51$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.51 | 129 | 39.5%51 W · 78 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63dd…c279backed Astros | 51c | 262.87$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.06 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed Astros | 48c | 252.99$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.21 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Mariners | 49c | 250$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Astros | 17c | 247.04$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6282…e8f2backed Astros | 21c | 247$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.94 | 74 | 27%20 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Astros | 50c | 230$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.2 | 255 | 48.6%124 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Astros | 50c | 220$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1,055 | 50.3%531 W · 524 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Astros | 50c | 208$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Astros | 49c | 203.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mariners vs. Astrosthis page
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.