Lol · resolved market
Will Siler Win the 2026 Soloq Challenge (High Elo)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93614b74413b6311a50d9adfdfb246b635a569f89d534f797255f4a8f7dc55bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,144
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,741
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,144 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfefd…ee6bbacked No | 79c | 1,034$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes | 18c | 764.65$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.17 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Yes | 15c | 653.11$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.49 | 611 | 43.5%266 W · 345 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f9…d5c1backed Yes | 17c | 578.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1a…b6f3backed Yes | 19c | 534.94$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.02 | 115 | 35.7%41 W · 74 L | -8.7wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad9a…c3f4backed Yes | 22c | 434.22$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.31 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea16…5dcfbacked Yes | 19c | 392.62$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.3 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -55%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…f1f3backed Yes | 22c | 372.45$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.64 | 246 | 48.4%119 W · 127 L | -13.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x027a…ea13backed Yes | 14c | 304.7$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.78 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +5.3wins | +0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 79c | 248.2$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.55 | 246 | 43.1%106 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 76c | 239.99$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.8 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb795…577ebacked Yes | 25c | 231.21$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes | 23c | 209.05$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.21 | 360 | 48.9%176 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…83e2backed Yes | 12c | 145.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Yes | 13c | 120$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 626 | 49.8%312 W · 314 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 15c | 111.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 181 | 21%38 W · 143 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6af1…c7c0backed Yes | 21c | 107.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45e6…c078backed Yes | 15c | 106.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 79c | 98.93$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.81 | 197 | 44.2%87 W · 110 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 23c | 90.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce3…1fc9backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d14…36fdbacked Yes | 16c | 81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | +13.0wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 23c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 152 | 32.2%49 W · 103 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 74c | 78.81$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.38 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a1…b04dbacked Yes | 19c | 52.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Siler Win the 2026 Soloq Challenge (High Elo)this page
- Will AdcShiro Win the 2026 Soloq Challenge (High Elo)No won
- Will Dahvys Win the 2026 Soloq Challenge (High Elo)No won
- Will EkkoTheNeeko Win the 2026 Soloq Challenge (High Elo)No won
- Will JavierLoL Win the 2026 Soloq Challenge (High Elo)Yes won
- Will Manolito Win the 2026 Soloq Challenge (High Elo)No won
- Will Rakyz Win the 2026 Soloq Challenge (High Elo)No won
- Will Sol1xd Win the 2026 Soloq Challenge (High Elo)No won
- Will WillyrexFanboy Win the 2026 Soloq Challenge (High Elo)No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.