Lol · resolved market
Will AlimentaChino Win the 2026 Soloq Challenge (Low Elo)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a37aa1baa0197f896bcbe4d44c65ce0caeb23dab23a5027a9841e653539e376
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,366
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,787
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,366 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 5c | 195.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b81…b9fbbacked Yes | 46c | 179.98$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…f1f3backed Yes | 58c | 150.21$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.12 | 246 | 48.4%119 W · 127 L | -13.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x027a…ea13backed Yes | 25c | 111.62$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.46 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +5.3wins | +0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8d…3a6cbacked Yes | 64c | 99.98$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 11c | 96.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 53c | 58.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.32 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7db0…8c18backed No | 44c | 40.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cf…464bbacked No | 67c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…fb67backed No | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 46c | 38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59cc…2963backed No | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…6f6ebacked No | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…e4bebacked No | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5651…83e1backed Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AlimentaChino Win the 2026 Soloq Challenge (Low Elo)this page
- Will Anuj Win the 2026 Soloq Challenge (Low Elo)No won
- Will Jesskiu Win the 2026 Soloq Challenge (Low Elo)No won
- Will Karchez Win the 2026 Soloq Challenge (Low Elo)No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.