CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: K27 vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1: Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x755dc3d82319209724aeba8f18841c0a72356b69e5845d556aedb231e45e75fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- K27of K27, CYBERSHOKE Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,046
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,439
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,046 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc0c3…6ca2backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 47c | 1,520$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed K27 | 57c | 1,519$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.87 | 380 | 37.4%142 W · 238 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked K27 | 77c | 1,502$1,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.48 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 43c | 1,440$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.4 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed K27 | 64c | 1,224$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.3 | 392 | 45.9%180 W · 212 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 44c | 1,145$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.55 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 19c | 1,118$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.19 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed K27 | 56c | 1,100$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484 | 166 | 53%88 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e0…2b63backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 41c | 1,030$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60c7…9d72backed K27 | 59c | 1,030$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 45c | 994.61$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.35 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 44c | 781.49$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.67 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0855…be05backed K27 | 54c | 765.08$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0722…8fe7backed K27 | 53c | 755$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed K27 | 57c | 540.14$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.58 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed K27 | 58c | 513.15$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.15 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaba0…62aabacked K27 | 56c | 490$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.6 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee0…f8f9backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 43c | 490$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.91 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 168 | 29.2%49 W · 119 L | -14.4wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 47c | 375.36$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.09 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 15c | 364.91$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.06 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x617f…cde5backed K27 | 74c | 349.19$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.19 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -4.3wins | -0.17per pick | 69cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…f764backed K27 | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 36c | 314$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.22 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51b7…2fc7backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 14c | 278.82$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.54 | 434 | 42.2%183 W · 251 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked K27 | 56c | 277.58$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.88 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 34c | 267.14$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.96 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 35c | 257.14$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 593 | 43.2%256 W · 337 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 35c | 224$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.96 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 17c | 210.96$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.32 | 468 | 43.4%203 W · 265 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 328 | 44.5%146 W · 182 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfda5…53d7backed K27 | 69c | 181.2$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.77 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked K27 | 54c | 162$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.52 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd123…31b1backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 32c | 126.56$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed K27 | 70c | 120.37$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.29 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 42c | 120.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.43 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 22c | 117$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 292 | 44.5%130 W · 162 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 11c | 112.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 22c | 96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 24c | 87.42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 15c | 86.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 45c | 70$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa48f…be42backed K27 | 77c | 65.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 40c | 55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 386 | 36%139 W · 247 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed K27 | 63c | 54$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked K27 | 59c | 50.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.95 | 255 | 54.5%139 W · 116 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 21c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf089…55cbbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…8eb1backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 40c | 49.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed K27 | 79c | 48$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 22c | 47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 489 | 48.7%238 W · 251 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed K27 | 78c | 47$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4139…8622backed K27 | 67c | 44.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5de…88dabacked K27 | 70c | 44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 25c | 42.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | -33.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb68…c695backed K27 | 63c | 38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 39c | 36.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…1208backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 35c | 35.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 40c | 35.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…88bfbacked K27 | 57c | 34.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 38c | 34.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 432 | 39.1%169 W · 263 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53fc…76d7backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 43c | 32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…6c2bbacked K27 | 75c | 30.83$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3a…7dcbbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 49c | 30.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x093a…1b3fbacked K27 | 56c | 29.2$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…ca17backed K27 | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -4.5wins | -0.20per pick | 66cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d1…f540backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 44c | 24.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 178 | 49.4%88 W · 90 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa633…1cf7backed K27 | 78c | 23.16$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.16 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed K27 | 78c | 20.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.58 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bbb…2948backed K27 | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 170 | 70%119 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1: Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs CYBERSHOKE Esports - Map 1 WinnerK27 won
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs CYBERSHOKE Esports - Map 2 WinnerCYBERSHOKE Esports won
- Map Handicap: K27 (-1.5) vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (+1.5)CYBERSHOKE Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.