CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: K27 vs CYBERSHOKE Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae45f007341cde9ee82a745c3eaaf21efe5cded72327119ef5dcc2a385826ef7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CYBERSHOKE Esportsof K27, CYBERSHOKE Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,490
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,597
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,490 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked K27 | 30c | 920.79$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.73 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 67c | 866$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.34 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcfa…cab8backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 74c | 600$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.9 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed K27 | 32c | 586.12$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.9 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 76c | 523.78$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.56 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked K27 | 58c | 430$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.06 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.25per pick | 60cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…8796backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 63c | 365.53$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.75 | 282 | 54.6%154 W · 128 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed K27 | 31c | 281.61$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.79 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed K27 | 23c | 265.18$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.43 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe46a…f06abacked K27 | 48c | 209.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 75c | 208.12$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.04 | 204 | 62.7%128 W · 76 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 47c | 175.91$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.39 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed K27 | 54c | 171.01$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.53 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb37a…1aa1backed K27 | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa48f…be42backed K27 | 63c | 79.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed K27 | 39c | 76.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 442 | 44.1%195 W · 247 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 61c | 57.36$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.37 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 80c | 57.17$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked K27 | 24c | 42.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 416 | 40.6%169 W · 247 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed K27 | 37c | 29.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | -33.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed K27 | 40c | 25.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 47 | 14.9%7 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed K27 | 41c | 24.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 64c | 24.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 314 | 52.2%164 W · 150 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc16…40c9backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 62c | 20.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked K27 | 56c | 18.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs CYBERSHOKE Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1: Closed Qualifier PlayoffsK27 won
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs CYBERSHOKE Esports - Map 1 WinnerK27 won
- Map Handicap: K27 (-1.5) vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (+1.5)CYBERSHOKE Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.