CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs FORZE Reload (BO3) - European Pro League Series 5 Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x251b92a1c0d06ab8d9a5bb9763aa6b3b413610921f66b1b91f1bad30ac6f5209
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FORZE Reloadof ex-RUBY, FORZE Reload
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,725
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,010
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,725 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked ex-RUBY | 70c | 1,817$1,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,264.73 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed FORZE Reload | 26c | 1,380$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.32 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked ex-RUBY | 35c | 1,200$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 753 | 56.8%428 W · 325 L | +48.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked FORZE Reload | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…860abacked FORZE Reload | 36c | 990.3$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.03 | 91 | 39.6%36 W · 55 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaccb…61dcbacked FORZE Reload | 30c | 922.98$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.09 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.22per pick | 54cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed FORZE Reload | 29c | 884.96$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.67 | 859 | 46.1%396 W · 463 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed FORZE Reload | 27c | 861.38$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.18 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e9…cb1bbacked ex-RUBY | 70c | 800$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked FORZE Reload | 32c | 654.98$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.97 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed ex-RUBY | 14c | 619.92$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.6 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed ex-RUBY | 76c | 546.18$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.4 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf53a…a8cdbacked ex-RUBY | 79c | 507.84$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed ex-RUBY | 41c | 488.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed FORZE Reload | 15c | 316.79$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.21 | 1,423 | 33.6%478 W · 945 L | +41.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16fd…b4d3backed FORZE Reload | 25c | 299.99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.69 | 298 | 40.3%120 W · 178 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8945…640bbacked FORZE Reload | 31c | 284.52$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.24 | 262 | 57.6%151 W · 111 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed ex-RUBY | 68c | 281$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 392 | 39.8%156 W · 236 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ex-RUBY | 75c | 263.59$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.12 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked FORZE Reload | 20c | 258.93$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.52 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf9…be26backed ex-RUBY | 75c | 234.67$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.13 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 66cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc255…0470backed ex-RUBY | 68c | 220$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.55 | 148 | 63.5%94 W · 54 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed ex-RUBY | 71c | 197.89$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.5 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked ex-RUBY | 72c | 170$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.7 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7db8…bbcebacked ex-RUBY | 69c | 145.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…db93backed ex-RUBY | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 218 | 67%146 W · 72 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6094…e860backed ex-RUBY | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed FORZE Reload | 21c | 125.76$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.34 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed FORZE Reload | 24c | 125$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed FORZE Reload | 31c | 117.15$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.16 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…6f9cbacked ex-RUBY | 36c | 115.5$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.58 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb126…9848backed FORZE Reload | 29c | 112.02$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.02 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked ex-RUBY | 67c | 111.74$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.7 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…404dbacked ex-RUBY | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 139 | 47.5%66 W · 73 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb0…9a6cbacked FORZE Reload | 29c | 93.23$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.81 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed FORZE Reload | 29c | 92$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.32 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4129…40c6backed FORZE Reload | 31c | 91.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +128.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed FORZE Reload | 27c | 91$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.98 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed FORZE Reload | 25c | 89.81$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.33 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed FORZE Reload | 18c | 84.95$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.35 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x45b0…ceebbacked FORZE Reload | 28c | 80$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 118 | 30.5%36 W · 82 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked ex-RUBY | 72c | 72.7$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.23 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52cd…8430backed ex-RUBY | 71c | 70.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 67cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked FORZE Reload | 29c | 66$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.12 | 489 | 48.7%238 W · 251 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed FORZE Reload | 32c | 58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.44 | 1,305 | 26.4%345 W · 960 L | -89.7wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked ex-RUBY | 69c | 57$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.07 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…ca17backed ex-RUBY | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -4.5wins | -0.20per pick | 66cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6c…02b5backed ex-RUBY | 71c | 54.1$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.15 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed ex-RUBY | 69c | 51.83$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.61 | 574 | 22.5%129 W · 445 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked FORZE Reload | 28c | 51.37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.23 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2f…a15fbacked FORZE Reload | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…a0cabacked ex-RUBY | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…3398backed FORZE Reload | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 107 | 30.8%33 W · 74 L | -12.9wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked ex-RUBY | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf2…1e5bbacked FORZE Reload | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | +13.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0e…9f75backed FORZE Reload | 32c | 49.27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.58 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked FORZE Reload | 37c | 48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked FORZE Reload | 27c | 46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.63 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6483…750abacked FORZE Reload | 40c | 45.12$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.17 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed ex-RUBY | 77c | 40.6$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.29 | 193 | 42%81 W · 112 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f50…e59ebacked FORZE Reload | 31c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.44 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed FORZE Reload | 28c | 37$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.76 | 292 | 44.5%130 W · 162 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…de26backed ex-RUBY | 68c | 36.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed FORZE Reload | 31c | 34.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 432 | 39.1%169 W · 263 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed ex-RUBY | 79c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 77 | 66.2%51 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…94f3backed ex-RUBY | 34c | 29.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe00c…178bbacked ex-RUBY | 72c | 16.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…cf14backed ex-RUBY | 80c | 15.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc16…40c9backed ex-RUBY | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs FORZE Reload (BO3) - European Pro League Series 5 Group Athis page
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs FORZE Reload - Map 2 WinnerFORZE Reload won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.