Asian League · resolved market
Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-03-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86f94f03f2261385176182664584d1d085115c3a39a8f82dd931c4fe46abfffe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,653
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,653 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 62c | 1,462$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.23 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 59c | 1,152$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.57 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Yes | 40c | 1,100$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.98 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Yes | 27c | 770.89$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.13 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 65c | 488.95$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.03 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e90…be2bbacked Yes | 37c | 467.17$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.85 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 52c | 290.25$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.61 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked No | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 57c | 150$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.9 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 38c | 149.96$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.99 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Yes | 30c | 146.67$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b7…37d5backed Yes | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9d…1299backed No | 70c | 113.33$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…ca17backed Yes | 48c | 110.92$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd790…a24ebacked Yes | 55c | 103.89$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.14 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…1761backed Yes | 53c | 94.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce3f…67c9backed Yes | 33c | 73.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 42c | 62.96$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.2 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes | 57c | 60.74$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.62 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 39c | 52.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 150 | 36.7%55 W · 95 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02b1…c764backed Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 40c | 49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6757…a8bebacked Yes | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…91acbacked Yes | 52c | 38.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed No | 75c | 33.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed No | 44c | 27.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked No | 47c | 26.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca7…4d26backed Yes | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…1420backed Yes | 54c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 62c | 21.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.11 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…81cabacked Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-03-07?this page
- Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-03-07?No won
- Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.