La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B win on 2026-03-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0256212c268e5b4ffad68c80620f001347a68d6877cf8fd214a36b4357299860
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,893
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,179
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,893 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked Yes | 32c | 2,028$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.09 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 25c | 1,462$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.22 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 80c | 1,263$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.95 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 28c | 950.91$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.95 | 137 | 28.5%39 W · 98 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 70c | 533.36$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.6 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed No | 35c | 286.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.57 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed Yes | 8c | 258.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 80c | 251.61$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.13 | 1,421 | 45.7%649 W · 772 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 33c | 250$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.5 | 351 | 45.6%160 W · 191 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 69c | 250$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 68c | 249.79$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.02 | 1,045 | 47.8%500 W · 545 L | +15.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 69c | 249.26$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.23 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 6c | 207.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 138 | 24.6%34 W · 104 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda63…b031backed Yes | 67c | 149.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -4.2wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked No | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98e0…bf01backed No | 73c | 137.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.29 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Yes | 31c | 130.78$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 324 | 44.8%145 W · 179 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 74c | 120$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.86 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 30c | 120$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 492 | 52.6%259 W · 233 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 104 | 16.3%17 W · 87 L | -10.2wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 65c | 105.82$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.78 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e8…907dbacked Yes | 12c | 101.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b98…aa35backed Yes | 50c | 92.54$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.27 | 65 | 61.5%40 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1e…5d9bbacked No | 50c | 92.54$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.27 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +6.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xca73…b02ebacked Yes | 29c | 73.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 24cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…1576backed No | 71c | 65.98$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 31c | 63.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.66 | 413 | 23.2%96 W · 317 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 95 | 71.6%68 W · 27 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 23c | 58.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…75c6backed Yes | 45c | 55.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974b…cb3dbacked Yes | 23c | 54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 54c | 46.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.48 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 67c | 45.93$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 24c | 42.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 70c | 41.17$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 2,347 | 48.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 69c | 37.56$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 319 | 52.4%167 W · 152 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cea…b709backed Yes | 79c | 33.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc46a…baf8backed Yes | 67c | 24.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 75c | 22.69$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 288 | 47.6%137 W · 151 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…ca17backed Yes | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 70c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.36 | 622 | 58%361 W · 261 L | +44.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…aea9backed No | 73c | 20.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…cf14backed No | 70c | 17.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.36 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8750…0841backed Yes | 69c | 16.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B win on 2026-03-01?this page
- Will RC Deportivo La Coruña win on 2026-03-01?Yes won
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. RC Deportivo La Coruña end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.