CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Acend (BO3) - European Pro League Series 5 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7a5c9219365d92195c13357d4f7e70d22c239db304c5c78c7cb5ad5b2bff5f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Acendof KOLESIE, Acend
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,702
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,702 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Acend | 37c | 2,630$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,656.89 | 205 | 39.5%81 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38b0…060cbacked Acend | 37c | 1,961$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.28 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed KOLESIE | 63c | 1,955$1,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,232 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Acend | 37c | 1,750$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.5 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Acend | 16c | 1,063$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.33 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed KOLESIE | 60c | 1,032$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.61 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked KOLESIE | 63c | 1,023$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.11 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed KOLESIE | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked KOLESIE | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed KOLESIE | 49c | 860.29$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.75 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked KOLESIE | 10c | 801.78$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.18 | 245 | 38.4%94 W · 151 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Acend | 38c | 781.6$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.77 | 526 | 36.5%192 W · 334 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed KOLESIE | 63c | 759$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.9 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fd…40ebbacked KOLESIE | 61c | 640.52$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.45 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed KOLESIE | 63c | 602.99$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.19 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Acend | 43c | 463.6$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.49 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Acend | 22c | 453$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.64 | 345 | 42.3%146 W · 199 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Acend | 42c | 409.5$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.15 | 655 | 46.9%307 W · 348 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Acend | 37c | 402$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.26 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed KOLESIE | 55c | 402$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.67 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked KOLESIE | 38c | 383.62$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.01 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked KOLESIE | 63c | 373$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.73 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed KOLESIE | 70c | 371.51$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.41 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Acend | 13c | 350.65$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.3 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed KOLESIE | 71c | 349$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.46 | 392 | 39.8%156 W · 236 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Acend | 38c | 303.11$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.69 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a61…588bbacked KOLESIE | 65c | 265.87$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.2 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b5…20f5backed Acend | 75c | 261.76$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Acend | 38c | 250$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…5d5ebacked KOLESIE | 63c | 224.59$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…f764backed Acend | 69c | 203.62$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.19 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Acend | 18c | 200$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 573 | 22.3%128 W · 445 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc7…0602backed KOLESIE | 61c | 178.04$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Acend | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 581 | 49.2%286 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Acend | 55c | 158.17$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.63 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…9077backed Acend | 38c | 157.91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.92 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Acend | 38c | 147.96$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.74 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed KOLESIE | 72c | 138$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 133 | 63.9%85 W · 48 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb87…4611backed KOLESIE | 63c | 126.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 121 | 58.7%71 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed Acend | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Acend | 26c | 116.03$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.98 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Acend | 40c | 109.29$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.07 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Acend | 22c | 103.11$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.3 | 47 | 14.9%7 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb2…a688backed KOLESIE | 63c | 102.19$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.38 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Acend | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 392 | 37.2%146 W · 246 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed KOLESIE | 67c | 92.55$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.41 | 303 | 35.6%108 W · 195 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…c005backed KOLESIE | 62c | 84.66$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.49 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16f4…ba36backed KOLESIE | 63c | 64.48$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.62 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eef…dc2ebacked KOLESIE | 76c | 64.47$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.12 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +40%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed KOLESIE | 62c | 61.46$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.88 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Acend | 26c | 61.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.36 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa62c…a3c1backed Acend | 38c | 60.05$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.23 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed Acend | 24c | 59.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.22 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed KOLESIE | 70c | 58.91$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | -33.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d38…dee2backed Acend | 34c | 58.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed KOLESIE | 35c | 57.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 26cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked KOLESIE | 62c | 57$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7de0…a7edbacked KOLESIE | 62c | 55$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked KOLESIE | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed KOLESIE | 29c | 46.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…f6bfbacked Acend | 41c | 43.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x382d…eb3abacked Acend | 51c | 42.4$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 252 | 50.4%127 W · 125 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Acend | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Acend | 29c | 35.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.88 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae9d…d417backed Acend | 37c | 32.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3938…c6cbbacked Acend | 64c | 31.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed KOLESIE | 51c | 31.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e3…b520backed KOLESIE | 50c | 30.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…ca17backed KOLESIE | 70c | 28.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -4.5wins | -0.20per pick | 66cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfb3c…1b3abacked KOLESIE | 53c | 25.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefff…2d98backed KOLESIE | 63c | 24.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed KOLESIE | 63c | 24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9620…5052backed KOLESIE | 55c | 18.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Acend | 61c | 16.72$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 47 | 76.6%36 W · 11 L | +9.9wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +35%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…3203backed KOLESIE | 60c | 16.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 69cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f4…07b6backed Acend | 76c | 15.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.65 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.20per pick | 62cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Acend (BO3) - European Pro League Series 5 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Acend - Map 2 WinnerAcend won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.