NHL · resolved market
KHL: Dinamo Minsk vs. SKA St. Petersburg
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05915aa3ea70fd730df23a0e2dcc1cf1a8b6f83212c1d6a34c0e9e6887e36cb6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SKA St. Petersburgof Dinamo Minsk, SKA St. Petersburg
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,070
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,070 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Dinamo Minsk | 70c | 950.07$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.77 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…f737backed SKA St. Petersburg | 32c | 618.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.64 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed SKA St. Petersburg | 30c | 583$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.2 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +79.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Dinamo Minsk | 67c | 301.25$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.84 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Dinamo Minsk | 68c | 173.54$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.01 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d3…bd58backed SKA St. Petersburg | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed SKA St. Petersburg | 31c | 138.43$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.41 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked SKA St. Petersburg | 34c | 136.98$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.41 | 337 | 45.7%154 W · 183 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked SKA St. Petersburg | 44c | 110.95$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.77 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5a…aca1backed SKA St. Petersburg | 32c | 107.56$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8b…b401backed Dinamo Minsk | 71c | 106.89$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Dinamo Minsk | 70c | 101.1$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.81 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Dinamo Minsk | 55c | 97.15$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Dinamo Minsk | 66c | 90.91$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 104 | 64.4%67 W · 37 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed SKA St. Petersburg | 33c | 90$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.3 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Dinamo Minsk | 67c | 74.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 416 | 50.7%211 W · 205 L | +15.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae9d…d417backed SKA St. Petersburg | 30c | 73.33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.33 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…0f95backed SKA St. Petersburg | 31c | 60$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.7 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc916…5403backed SKA St. Petersburg | 31c | 54$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b54…db07backed Dinamo Minsk | 67c | 49.25$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d14…abaebacked Dinamo Minsk | 69c | 45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…1d5bbacked Dinamo Minsk | 67c | 41.79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68d4…0a9cbacked SKA St. Petersburg | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed Dinamo Minsk | 48c | 32.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 366 | 62%227 W · 139 L | +39.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…ca17backed Dinamo Minsk | 69c | 29.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e3…7b48backed Dinamo Minsk | 70c | 24.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Dinamo Minsk | 68c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Dinamo Minsk | 68c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf48e…1e01backed Dinamo Minsk | 69c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.