South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Tucumán vs. Racing Club: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d3b84c8427cd2614158a41711684fa5f6514516ccfb47cd63b9c79ff13de7d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,247
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,069
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,247 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 35c | 3,766$1,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,448.18 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 65c | 2,034$1,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.11 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x036c…178dbacked Under | 62c | 1,046$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.68 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 32c | 953.18$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.33 | 138 | 28.3%39 W · 99 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 67c | 889.24$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.53 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 65c | 826.43$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.63 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 67c | 689.92$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.82 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Under | 66c | 639.98$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.19 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Under | 64c | 422.66$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 95 | 67.4%64 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 73c | 357.07$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.68 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 126 | 45.2%57 W · 69 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Over | 36c | 278.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.03 | 143 | 35.7%51 W · 92 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 33c | 257.49$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.18 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 36c | 210$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.4 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.31 | 138 | 33.3%46 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed Over | 23c | 174.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.24 | 62 | 8.1%5 W · 57 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 69c | 141.8$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.17 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 36c | 117.84$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.72 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Over | 36c | 102.78$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.78 | 69 | 26.1%18 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 23c | 99.59$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.33 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.59 | 493 | 41%202 W · 291 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53eb…90ebbacked Under | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc92d…9691backed Under | 62c | 72.58$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Under | 73c | 67.81$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.17 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 28c | 63.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.76 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0c…10e6backed Over | 36c | 61.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.57 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9796…9032backed Over | 37c | 43.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.54 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 37c | 38.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.45 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd040…4e6bbacked Under | 68c | 36.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb96…bdf0backed Under | 65c | 31.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -4.0wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5154…ea77backed Under | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90b5…4e3dbacked Under | 68c | 29.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefef…94b8backed Under | 66c | 27.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3108…8a52backed Under | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…2d57backed Under | 67c | 19.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 114 | 61.4%70 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Under | 69c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 235 | 42.1%99 W · 136 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Tucumán vs. Racing Club: O/U 2.5this page
- CA Tucumán vs. Racing Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA Tucumán vs. Racing Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Tucumán vs. Racing Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Tucumán vs. Racing Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Tucumán (-2.5)Racing Club won
- Spread: Racing Club (-1.5)Racing Club won
- Spread: Racing Club (-2.5)Racing Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.