South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Tucumán vs. Racing Club: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x627f5e0e2887883b1313d11ecf46761e446aa054f4819486bd5fd478f8528aa6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,131
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,387
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,131 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 43c | 1,638$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.29 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bd…c88dbacked Over | 63c | 1,132$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.6 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 36c | 739.3$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.42 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 44c | 563.6$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.6 | 191 | 35.1%67 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 63c | 476.17$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.18 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…1d41backed Over | 60c | 471$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.83 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 41c | 389.58$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.82 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 36c | 367.44$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.07 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…7ad9backed Over | 58c | 321.6$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.07 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 38c | 284.85$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.16 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…679ebacked Over | 59c | 271.19$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.19 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 48c | 233.35$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.34 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d1…f89fbacked Over | 66c | 214.11$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Under | 29c | 189$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.73 | 138 | 28.3%39 W · 99 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Under | 34c | 145.12$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.34 | 123 | 31.7%39 W · 84 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf6…09a8backed Over | 66c | 140$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 63c | 113.15$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.16 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1edf…2392backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 493 | 41%202 W · 291 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Over | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Under | 39c | 74.36$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4868…c8d1backed Under | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90b5…4e3dbacked Under | 33c | 60.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Over | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 170 | 66.5%113 W · 57 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked Over | 55c | 59.78$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.65 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +5.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Over | 49c | 49.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.64 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 73c | 39.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 64c | 36.06$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 35c | 33.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5358…44e8backed Under | 48c | 31.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…2d57backed Under | 48c | 26.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 114 | 61.4%70 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 74c | 25.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Over | 52c | 23.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 64 | 68.8%44 W · 20 L | +8.7wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ba…068dbacked Over | 77c | 13.04$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Tucumán vs. Racing Club: O/U 1.5this page
- CA Tucumán vs. Racing Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA Tucumán vs. Racing Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- CA Tucumán vs. Racing Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Tucumán vs. Racing Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Tucumán (-2.5)Racing Club won
- Spread: Racing Club (-1.5)Racing Club won
- Spread: Racing Club (-2.5)Racing Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.