Premier League · resolved market
Will Oxford United FC win on 2026-04-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04bf318fa5af29e13d82175ac885e7d5694026b7ead4567574cbb31c4a33c5e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,912
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,290
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,912 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 2c | 3,050$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.05 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8796…c744backed No | 3c | 2,343$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.98 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 3c | 2,100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 31c | 1,143$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.85 | 150 | 38%57 W · 93 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 4c | 1,129$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.16 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 21c | 998.17$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.94 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 70c | 570.96$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.08 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 4c | 550.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 31c | 496.93$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.39 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 66c | 455.29$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.59 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 31c | 403$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.93 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 35c | 402.79$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.36 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 80c | 299.94$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.99 | 451 | 42.6%192 W · 259 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa5…4f56backed Yes | 68c | 288.47$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked No | 34c | 288.12$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.96 | 179 | 59.8%107 W · 72 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked No | 34c | 288.12$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.96 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked No | 34c | 288.12$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.96 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed No | 34c | 282.36$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Yes | 61c | 279.98$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.19 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 65c | 252.38$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.33 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 78c | 251.51$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.07 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 69c | 247.73$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.79 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked No | 35c | 243.72$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.83 | 204 | 25%51 W · 153 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 66c | 240$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked No | 20c | 223.12$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.55 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cad…0303backed Yes | 80c | 200.51$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.1 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x650a…0f82backed Yes | 65c | 188.27$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.89 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 27c | 180$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1c…53f2backed No | 34c | 144.06$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.98 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0c…10e6backed No | 33c | 140.8$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.46 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x806a…62d7backed Yes | 70c | 140.29$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.09 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 79c | 127.73$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.73 | 419 | 56.3%236 W · 183 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…1dafbacked Yes | 66c | 89.05$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.28 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x795a…2befbacked Yes | 68c | 73.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6b…617cbacked Yes | 68c | 69.41$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.21 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 63c | 64.41$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.72 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 18c | 63.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -8.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7c…1549backed Yes | 78c | 63.26$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…bb76backed No | 19c | 55.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 27c | 51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 34c | 50.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Yes | 67c | 46.95$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.49 | 189 | 61.9%117 W · 72 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6a…ae46backed Yes | 63c | 46.56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +4.5wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x572e…ac69backed Yes | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 33 | 81.8%27 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 69cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed No | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Yes | 65c | 37.65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Yes | 61c | 36.8$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked No | 34c | 32.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92e6…8222backed Yes | 67c | 30.79$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 66c | 30.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes | 65c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…9d28backed Yes | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e24…24fbbacked Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Yes | 80c | 19.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.98 | 279 | 48%134 W · 145 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed Yes | 66c | 18.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 141 | 62.4%88 W · 53 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Oxford United FC win on 2026-04-25?this page
- Will Oxford United FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Sheffield Wednesday FC win on 2026-04-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.