Fifa International · resolved market
Scotland to score first vs. Haiti?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x644f58c9d29950147f2dc8211acba9c60c2f84c6eb79b1ffeee23f0ddfa94d0f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,605
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,339
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,605 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 0c | 24,380$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 31c | 1,351$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.84 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 32c | 1,155$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.29 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 33c | 951.55$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.01 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 32c | 750.35$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.27 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 33c | 630.51$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.13 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 52c | 492.25$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.28 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 8c | 483.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.87 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79aa…1168backed Yes | 68c | 441.18$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.18 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…8a9bbacked Yes | 68c | 438.17$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.17 | 139 | 48.2%67 W · 72 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked No | 32c | 401.06$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.34 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Yes | 67c | 393.29$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.79 | 311 | 56.6%176 W · 135 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6436…da96backed Yes | 65c | 384.62$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.62 | 85 | 42.4%36 W · 49 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 31c | 299.96$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.99 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 32c | 263.15$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.94 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 15c | 243.32$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 199 | 39.7%79 W · 120 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf609…e68bbacked No | 5c | 232$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 206 | 52.9%109 W · 97 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 9c | 226.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Yes | 69c | 217.39$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.39 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…78d8backed Yes | 69c | 217.39$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.39 | 227 | 52.4%119 W · 108 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked Yes | 68c | 199.99$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5617…a1f2backed Yes | 67c | 179.34$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1685…6de4backed Yes | 69c | 152.97$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.97 | 272 | 39%106 W · 166 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +8.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb078…289ebacked Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 207 | 56%116 W · 91 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c7…1d58backed Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 113 | 41.6%47 W · 66 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 68c | 147$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 356 | 58.7%209 W · 147 L | +35.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8b45…077ebacked Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 131 | 45%59 W · 72 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x946f…08ebbacked Yes | 69c | 144.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.02 | 111 | 30.6%34 W · 77 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4206…f874backed Yes | 73c | 136.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.17 | 82 | 70.7%58 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2464…1b98backed Yes | 69c | 136.01$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.52 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 33cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 26c | 132.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.33 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 32c | 127.94$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.94 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 67c | 111.9$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.93 | 258 | 65.9%170 W · 88 L | +40.1wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xffaf…64c6backed Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa01d…dda2backed Yes | 77c | 94.81$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.81 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 32c | 90.36$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.92 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 16c | 81.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb602…1991backed Yes | 68c | 74.56$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.86 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 41cpaid | -79%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 15c | 73.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 68c | 73.23$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.23 | 667 | 45%300 W · 367 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2739…fd7cbacked Yes | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61cf…69b8backed Yes | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…3038backed Yes | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf70a…7710backed Yes | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x080a…8b56backed Yes | 69c | 71.43$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed Yes | 51c | 65.36$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.27 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 30c | 64.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes | 66c | 57.21$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.45 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…c507backed Yes | 50c | 54$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 30c | 49.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa052…ee29backed Yes | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce7b…c780backed Yes | 70c | 43.06$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.06 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 67c | 36.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 289 | 64.4%186 W · 103 L | +42.6wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5f…3b66backed Yes | 69c | 32.45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50e…45c5backed Yes | 78c | 31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 329 | 59.6%196 W · 133 L | +21.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d54…6022backed Yes | 67c | 30.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 128 | 71.9%92 W · 36 L | +14.6wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5691…b50dbacked Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x726d…b10dbacked Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78e9…79ddbacked Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb047…e610backed Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b5…5ce5backed Yes | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70cb…99ebbacked Yes | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe121…fa8fbacked Yes | 68c | 18.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1b…2552backed Yes | 69c | 17.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada8…2a67backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Scotland to score first vs. Haiti?this page
- Haiti to score first vs. Scotland?No won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: Neither team to score first?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.