TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Flyers vs. Jets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Flyersof Flyers, Jets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$461,276
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$475,206

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $461,276 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 279 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9976…67dabacked Flyers49c240,781$117,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123,428.419848.5%96 W · 102 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Jets51c61,347$31,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,285.5740351.9%209 W · 194 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc29a…7816backed Jets52c52,800$27,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,4568240.2%33 W · 49 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Jets51c52,605$26,723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,72341850%209 W · 209 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1925…4654backed Flyers47c23,946$11,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,691.1211644.8%52 W · 64 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Jets53c19,099$10,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,122.721,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Jets51c18,888$9,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,632.8821850.9%111 W · 107 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc08…a137backed Flyers73c16,142$11,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,339.9430259.6%180 W · 122 L+31.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16.7%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x6165…db3cbacked Jets54c15,357$8,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,311.454348.8%21 W · 22 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick60cpaid-22.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Jets42c15,222$6,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,418.3127448.9%134 W · 140 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Flyers49c13,798$6,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,015.718452.7%97 W · 87 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Jets52c11,550$6,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,00632251.9%167 W · 155 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Jets52c10,142$5,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,223.792,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Jets51c9,500$4,845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8457737.7%29 W · 48 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9fb…8feebacked Flyers47c8,489$3,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,513.8919050.5%96 W · 94 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Jets52c8,138$4,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,198.2827044.4%120 W · 150 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Jets51c6,737$3,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,435.7640356.3%227 W · 176 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Jets51c4,909$2,524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,523.992,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Flyers49c4,578$2,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,33533450.9%170 W · 164 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed Jets53c4,310$2,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,284.4910938.5%42 W · 67 L-9.2wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-20.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Flyers47c4,215$1,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,219.231,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Jets52c4,000$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,08020450%102 W · 102 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Jets53c4,000$2,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1201,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Flyers45c3,664$1,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,015.0867051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Jets49c3,337$1,639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,638.7489636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Jets31c3,325$1,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,018.042,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Flyers46c3,095$1,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,671.348545.4%220 W · 265 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01a5…312ebacked Flyers49c3,071$1,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,565.57244.4%32 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Jets55c2,689$1,479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,47985250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Jets45c2,532$1,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,141.621,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa048…dd23backed Flyers47c2,480$1,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,314.44450%22 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Jets52c2,349$1,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,221.4831848.7%155 W · 163 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Jets53c2,200$1,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,176.9811153.2%59 W · 52 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4285…cfb5backed Jets53c2,132$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1306758.2%39 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Flyers47c2,075$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,099.7520756.5%117 W · 90 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Jets54c2,066$1,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,115.6689249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Jets53c2,006$1,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,054.0426750.2%134 W · 133 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Jets20c2,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40010438.5%40 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked Jets53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,059.9925447.2%120 W · 134 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Jets1c1,932$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.822,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Jets1c1,895$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.692504.8%12 W · 238 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick2cpaid+159.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Flyers46c1,880$872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,008.831,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Flyers68c1,813$1,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.2516446.3%76 W · 88 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Flyers69c1,741$1,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.413850.7%70 W · 68 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Jets54c1,740$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$939.5961959.1%366 W · 253 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f8d…6790backed Jets53c1,400$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$747.991643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-21.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x93ef…468bbacked Jets53c1,300$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Jets51c1,166$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.481,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Jets54c1,119$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60029448.6%143 W · 151 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Jets54c1,086$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.4442847.2%202 W · 226 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Flyers49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.415444.4%24 W · 30 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Flyers50c1,008$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.3219150.8%97 W · 94 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Flyers47c997.97$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.2976950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7988…a57ebacked Jets13c991.87$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.061723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-55.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Jets12c934.8$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.2314946.3%69 W · 80 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Jets33c923.77$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.5899638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Jets52c905.07$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.0661950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Jets53c745.05$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.9223642.8%101 W · 135 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26be…805fbacked Jets53c743.07$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.982085%17 W · 3 L+5.5wins+0.27per pick58cpaid+49.7%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Flyers49c700$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35744551.2%228 W · 217 L+16.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Jets27c664.7$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.392,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Flyers49c612.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.2414052.1%73 W · 67 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked Flyers51c600$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.8612745.7%58 W · 69 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5140…9951backed Flyers50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3003860.5%23 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64da…2292backed Jets51c584$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9819154.5%104 W · 87 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Flyers45c550$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.521147.4%100 W · 111 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Jets53c529.98$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.8983652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Flyers48c520.83$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.8328753.3%153 W · 134 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Jets53c517.72$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.7938551.4%198 W · 187 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d5c…1768backed Jets54c500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2707851.3%40 W · 38 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00cf…d102backed Flyers46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27049249.6%244 W · 248 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Flyers62c499.19$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.6327037.4%101 W · 169 L-11.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-33.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Jets51c494$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.9433941.3%140 W · 199 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc689…5250backed Jets54c483.46$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.073959%23 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9902…34b3backed Jets53c471.99$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.4310941.3%45 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb234…5b9ebacked Jets23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003135.5%11 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-27.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ef2…ccfbbacked Jets54c417.37$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.6412654.8%69 W · 57 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Flyers48c416.66$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.6616463.4%104 W · 60 L+18.5wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+23.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Flyers64c408.69$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.393,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Flyers49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.1615051.3%77 W · 73 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Flyers49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.1624847.6%118 W · 130 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Flyers48c399.99$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20815650%78 W · 78 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Jets46c362.85$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.2513336.1%48 W · 85 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x370e…5df3backed Flyers45c356$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.729160.4%55 W · 36 L+10.7wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+35.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Jets51c350$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.551949.5%257 W · 262 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Flyers46c335.82$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.296657.6%38 W · 28 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb9a…4d42backed Flyers49c333.61$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.768652.3%45 W · 41 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81fc…e13abacked Jets54c333.33$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb602…1991backed Flyers63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.461735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-37.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbde…3dc9backed Jets54c310$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1689436.2%34 W · 60 L-13.1wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-12.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xec56…dd09backed Jets52c300$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15627049.6%134 W · 136 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Flyers46c299.95$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.9874951.8%388 W · 361 L+18.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Flyers73c289.39$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.9710166.3%67 W · 34 L+11.0wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+25%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbf30…8b95backed Jets18c286.25$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.534443.2%19 W · 25 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Jets51c272.16$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.7842948.7%209 W · 220 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6f3…c5c2backed Flyers76c263.79$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.7910573.3%77 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick74cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Jets51c259.05$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.126931.9%22 W · 47 L-8.3wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-25.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1bd9…ea45backed Jets53c230$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.16737.3%25 W · 42 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-22%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Jets31c223.26$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.361,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x789a…1ddabacked Jets52c222.67$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.797258.3%42 W · 30 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.