NHL · resolved market
Flyers vs. Jets: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46cbc954c3cf886572884890fa87ca9b9b64e35845e136403e88fde96eff0403
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,289
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,349
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,289 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b45…d196backed Under | 47c | 391.22$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.82 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over | 22c | 331.82$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.82 | 191 | 41.9%80 W · 111 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Under | 80c | 300$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Over | 20c | 300$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -13.1wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbf30…8b95backed Under | 41c | 225.41$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.42 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…8feebacked Under | 79c | 200$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 78c | 156.86$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.35 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Under | 7c | 156$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 21c | 152$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.08 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 61c | 62$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.37 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccab…46f9backed Under | 78c | 55$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 78c | 48.26$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.52 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 21c | 48$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 780 | 38.5%300 W · 480 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 37c | 42.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Over | 56c | 39.7$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.47 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 35c | 39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b83…f841backed Under | 46c | 28.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -65%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb7…ca4abacked Over | 47c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1a…8984backed Under | 44c | 25.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 46c | 24.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 355 | 51%181 W · 174 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Flyers vs. Jets: O/U 7.5this page
- Flyers vs. JetsFlyers won
- Flyers vs. Jets: O/U 5.5Over won
- Flyers vs. Jets: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Jets (-1.5)Flyers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.