Mls · resolved market
Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-04-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72c9c658cbd14dd94768e35c23cccb77475c13b758cb172b239b4ce3798e4a3a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,275
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,363
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,275 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked No | 24c | 10,867$2,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,574.23 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Yes | 61c | 6,536$3,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,546.56 | 130 | 53.1%69 W · 61 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 39c | 5,800$2,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,261.84 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Yes | 61c | 4,000$2,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.99 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 20c | 2,312$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.96 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 77c | 2,131$1,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.82 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 61c | 1,701$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.64 | 236 | 43.6%103 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 36c | 1,673$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.36 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03df…1dbabacked No | 13c | 1,454$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 70c | 1,401$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.93 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 33c | 1,367$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.54 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 30c | 1,110$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.45 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked No | 40c | 1,020$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x196e…e9d6backed Yes | 80c | 1,008$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 36c | 999.98$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.99 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 39c | 983.8$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.68 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Yes | 62c | 800.97$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.97 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb2…a30cbacked No | 7c | 694.43$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +125%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 30c | 582.09$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.17 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Yes | 65c | 576.99$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.92 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed No | 30c | 558.28$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.57 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 30c | 553.34$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.11 | 154 | 58.4%90 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 12c | 473$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.76 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Yes | 61c | 400$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 36c | 375$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.41 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 21c | 372.45$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.31 | 263 | 46.8%123 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 38c | 352.02$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.77 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Yes | 62c | 347$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.86 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4650…f3f0backed Yes | 58c | 308$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.36 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed No | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked No | 23c | 260.34$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.88 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 36c | 256.44$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.32 | 248 | 59.3%147 W · 101 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked No | 36c | 256.44$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.32 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 23c | 252.34$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.04 | 222 | 63.1%140 W · 82 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 23c | 252.34$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.04 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 23c | 252.34$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.04 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb602…1991backed Yes | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Yes | 62c | 245$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.1 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed No | 32c | 241.3$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.52 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +7.5wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +92.9%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…7adebacked Yes | 62c | 228$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.64 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Yes | 60c | 211$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.4 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 38c | 200.38$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.14 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d5…7ca1backed Yes | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…a390backed Yes | 76c | 200$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Yes | 62c | 198$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.24 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…1fe3backed Yes | 62c | 198$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Yes | 61c | 198$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.22 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Yes | 62c | 195$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.1 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Yes | 62c | 193.55$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.55 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x864a…7cacbacked No | 39c | 189.85$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.04 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed Yes | 62c | 183$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.54 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 31c | 180.96$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.64 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 37c | 180$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca6…77dfbacked Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Yes | 64c | 156.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.36 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53fa…83f9backed Yes | 77c | 150$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +53%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe363…c894backed No | 38c | 149.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 39c | 144$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.16 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 21c | 140.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.84 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…9abebacked No | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Yes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce3a…2477backed Yes | 62c | 125$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f0…c8a6backed Yes | 62c | 124.19$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.19 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked No | 37c | 124$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.88 | 128 | 49.2%63 W · 65 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x108c…122dbacked Yes | 62c | 124$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Yes | 62c | 121.87$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.31 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 37c | 121$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.66 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4acd…66d4backed Yes | 78c | 120$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 38c | 118.03$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.85 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 36c | 117.56$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.32 | 192 | 55.2%106 W · 86 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 24c | 117.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed Yes | 69c | 108.49$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.32 | 199 | 60.8%121 W · 78 L | +22.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed Yes | 71c | 108.49$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.79 | 206 | 60.7%125 W · 81 L | +19.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdff2…2e27backed Yes | 74c | 108.4$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…1e5ebacked Yes | 62c | 106$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…705cbacked Yes | 62c | 101$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.38 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d24…9c89backed Yes | 62c | 101$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.38 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…4961backed No | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 75c | 98.4$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.72 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed No | 38c | 92.1$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -8.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Yes | 60c | 89$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -10.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 20c | 83.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed No | 39c | 80$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 259 | 34.4%89 W · 170 L | -28.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 58c | 76.21$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.01 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 70c | 72.69$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 239 | 53.6%128 W · 111 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 57c | 68$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.24 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed Yes | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed No | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Yes | 62c | 64$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked No | 28c | 60.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56e4…6ee4backed Yes | 62c | 57$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 36c | 54.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 249 | 20.9%52 W · 197 L | -19.4wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed8…3affbacked Yes | 78c | 54.51$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed No | 38c | 51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yes | 72c | 48.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 288 | 51.4%148 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-04-11?this page
- Will Atlanta United FC win on 2026-04-11?No won
- Will Chicago Fire FC vs. Atlanta United FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.