Ligue 1 · resolved market
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Angers SCO: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45ec7a429afa71ebfd30c45fe1dad6d7f3d898f80c551979b95df950c6d66ed6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,735
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,282
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,735 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Over | 33c | 7,070$2,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,352.88 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 66c | 3,622$2,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233.38 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 65c | 2,073$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.54 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.85 | 72 | 27.8%20 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Over | 37c | 997.39$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.04 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 48c | 899.67$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.34 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 68c | 609.25$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.7 | 125 | 56%70 W · 55 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Over | 51c | 561.43$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.33 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Under | 67c | 539.11$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.91 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -49%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 32c | 507.42$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.78 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Over | 48c | 402.27$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.09 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 49c | 395.67$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.79 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 53c | 364.4$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.74 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb602…1991backed Under | 65c | 346.56$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Under | 66c | 345.98$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.63 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 70c | 302.02$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.24 | 129 | 63.6%82 W · 47 L | +12.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 33c | 290.85$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.98 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -10.4wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 68c | 266.67$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.49 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Under | 67c | 259.12$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.57 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 67c | 251.76$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.3 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 62c | 236.77$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.74 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 63c | 149.01$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.14 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 69c | 144.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.23 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 69c | 143.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.16 | 99 | 60.6%60 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 63c | 123.57$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.32 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 40c | 118.03$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.21 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed Under | 63c | 108.64$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Over | 37c | 92.67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.29 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 19c | 79.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.73 | 263 | 46.4%122 W · 141 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 67c | 55.16$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec9…b76bbacked Over | 26c | 41.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033b…5e3fbacked Under | 69c | 40.25$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…f7c2backed Over | 38c | 38.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Under | 65c | 37.65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 52c | 34.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 35c | 30.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Over | 64c | 29.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -37%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3baa…68ecbacked Over | 52c | 28.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 46c | 28.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +9.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 48c | 27.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.54 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 66c | 24.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 123 | 67.5%83 W · 40 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 66c | 24.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 103 | 64.1%66 W · 37 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f354backed Over | 64c | 22.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Angers SCO: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-1.5)Angers SCO won
- Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-2.5)Angers SCO won
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Angers SCO: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Angers SCO: O/U 1.5Over won
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Angers SCO: O/U 2.5Over won
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Angers SCO: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.