South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Boca Juniors vs. CA Independiente end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc98f7530121ed1e6fcd98dee34d4e3ca42ef00966ecc78ad9ccfdf16410e4b99
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,449
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,369
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,449 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 34c | 2,881$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,902.37 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 47c | 2,235$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.36 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 58c | 1,222$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.57 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 75c | 1,046$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.49 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 55c | 913.91$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.58 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed No | 6c | 826.82$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.56 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -41%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 6c | 752$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.06 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 66c | 500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 66c | 500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 66c | 500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 66c | 421.15$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.96 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked Yes | 27c | 327.23$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.27 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa823…3327backed Yes | 34c | 310.72$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.07 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 69c | 260.65$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.63 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 48c | 225.9$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.49 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 32c | 218.38$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.11 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 32c | 206.46$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.79 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 51c | 162.2$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.81 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…c66ebacked Yes | 31c | 156.87$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.95 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Yes | 66c | 146.56$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.96 | 281 | 58.7%165 W · 116 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Yes | 70c | 127.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.3 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 57c | 126.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.59 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Yes | 78c | 126.94$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.28 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Yes | 57c | 126.89$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.5 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 57c | 125.83$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.5 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 44c | 107$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.65 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfa93…a0c9backed No | 74c | 99.56$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.67 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe363…c894backed No | 66c | 89.41$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.01 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef9c…7b3fbacked No | 19c | 79.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Yes | 29c | 74.91$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 53c | 68.74$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 57c | 64.12$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.79 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 32c | 61.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 42c | 61.1$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.36 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…b1a2backed Yes | 50c | 58.2$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Yes | 34c | 57.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.03 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Yes | 51c | 54.31$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.86 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 51c | 54.31$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.86 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Yes | 51c | 54.31$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.86 | 159 | 56.6%90 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Yes | 51c | 54.07$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Yes | 48c | 50.57$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.12 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…9e23backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…8f42backed Yes | 34c | 48.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.74 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked No | 47c | 46.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 66c | 46.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.46 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 32c | 44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.92 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed No | 53c | 41.68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5d…ef01backed No | 47c | 39.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…1dafbacked Yes | 33c | 38.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.72 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Yes | 35c | 37.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.09 | 199 | 55.8%111 W · 88 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Yes | 35c | 37.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.09 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa8…924ebacked Yes | 30c | 37.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.91 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 32c | 35.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.01 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5be1…3371backed Yes | 55c | 35.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 37c | 28.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked No | 71c | 27.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed No | 48c | 25.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 188 | 59%111 W · 77 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e52…2877backed Yes | 80c | 24.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e4…d947backed No | 66c | 24.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…8314backed No | 56c | 23.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 54c | 21.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 258 | 64.3%166 W · 92 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 52c | 21.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Yes | 78c | 18.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.17 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Boca Juniors vs. CA Independiente end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-04-11?No won
- Will CA Independiente win on 2026-04-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.