Other European Leagues · resolved market
AZ vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x862ac7ea2650d3755eff381d5941577052eee3b9a63220efaec87dd627606ac8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,838
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,435
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,838 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 52c | 1,394$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.79 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 24c | 1,105$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.81 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed Over | 50c | 599.84$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed Under | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Over | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 70c | 397.32$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.04 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 43c | 348.84$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 168 | 26.2%44 W · 124 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 47c | 310.01$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.79 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 53c | 300.63$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.14 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cb…9b76backed Over | 47c | 282.38$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Over | 46c | 277.99$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.88 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Over | 49c | 250$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 357 | 40.6%145 W · 212 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -7.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4907…f72abacked Under | 51c | 195.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 178.01$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.45 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 58c | 169.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.6 | 205 | 72.2%148 W · 57 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 57c | 166.34$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.92 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 49c | 160$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.4 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Over | 58c | 156.9$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 112 | 37.5%42 W · 70 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Over | 49c | 148.59$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.23 | 101 | 35.6%36 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 55c | 146.96$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.13 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed Over | 44c | 136.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…0262backed Under | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.36 | 79 | 26.6%21 W · 58 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 46c | 130.49$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.03 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Over | 57c | 123.4$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 42c | 121.66$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.66 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…b6c7backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.19per pick | 43cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 30c | 89.93$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 57c | 83.28$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.56 | 338 | 58.6%198 W · 140 L | +30.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 51c | 82$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.82 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | +45.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 53c | 81.8$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.77 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9531…18ffbacked Over | 45c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 75c | 78$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.48 | 192 | 65.1%125 W · 67 L | +13.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7663…c9aabacked Over | 53c | 76.06$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Over | 48c | 75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Over | 39c | 72.83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.31 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 57c | 67.79$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 56c | 67.1$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.58 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Under | 60c | 64.95$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.95 | 210 | 36.7%77 W · 133 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf25…345bbacked Under | 33c | 62.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.17 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x287f…3c11backed Under | 63c | 59.32$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 46c | 54.34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Over | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabd5…e713backed Over | 48c | 48.52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 75c | 46.71$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.03 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 26c | 45.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefa8…924ebacked Over | 49c | 42.24$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb4…98e9backed Over | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 327 | 39.4%129 W · 198 L | -22.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa93…a0c9backed Under | 56c | 37.17$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.35 | 18 | 88.9%16 W · 2 L | +4.0wins | +0.22per pick | 67cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…edb9backed Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -7.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 50c | 27.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8390…3773backed Over | 55c | 26.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…b1a2backed Under | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 57c | 22.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 89 | 69.7%62 W · 27 L | +13.3wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 57c | 22.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 57c | 22.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 57c | 22.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 260 | 60.8%158 W · 102 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Under | 57c | 22.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 151 | 57.6%87 W · 64 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 57c | 22.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Under | 57c | 22.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Under | 57c | 22.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 133 | 60.2%80 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f0…5d25backed Over | 55c | 21.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 65c | 21.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 52c | 21.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 50c | 21.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Under | 57c | 19.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 62c | 18.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 306 | 56.2%172 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 62c | 18.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 322 | 59.3%191 W · 131 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AZ vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 3.5this page
- AZ vs. SC Heerenveen: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- AZ vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 1.5Over won
- AZ vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 2.5Over won
- AZ vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AZ (-1.5)AZ won
- Spread: AZ (-2.5)AZ won
- Spread: SC Heerenveen (-1.5)AZ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.