Other European Leagues · resolved market
AZ vs. SC Heerenveen: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a87cb08781ebfd827f503efeedde15947c18dbb4909e69c69a9691406e8e6bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,928
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,598
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,928 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe8b0…7b16backed Yes | 37c | 10,790$3,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,992.22 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 62c | 9,844$6,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,728.48 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 63c | 1,111$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.07 | 88 | 67%59 W · 29 L | +10.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 33c | 702.71$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.89 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Yes | 67c | 630.62$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 136 | 62.5%85 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 54c | 499.98$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.99 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 44c | 480.42$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.69 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cb…9b76backed Yes | 67c | 436.68$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79fb…c230backed No | 10c | 434.08$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.67 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Yes | 62c | 433.11$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 75 | 80%60 W · 15 L | +12.7wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x74bb…1759backed Yes | 40c | 250$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.36 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 52c | 237.73$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.97 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 33c | 190.46$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.66 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…a919backed Yes | 68c | 180.88$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 57c | 109.47$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.13 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 80c | 94.34$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Yes | 65c | 92.31$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 357 | 40.6%145 W · 212 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed Yes | 48c | 62.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8372…49e8backed No | 65c | 53.84$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 47c | 33.23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2720backed No | 67c | 32.88$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2e…caf6backed No | 33c | 31.33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked No | 49c | 29.32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.07 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 49c | 29.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 49c | 29.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 151 | 57.6%87 W · 64 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 49c | 29.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 49c | 29.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 322 | 59.3%191 W · 131 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed No | 49c | 29.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf90c…7dedbacked No | 35c | 29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15a8…9829backed No | 44c | 23.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AZ vs. SC Heerenveen: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- AZ vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 1.5Over won
- AZ vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 2.5Over won
- AZ vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 3.5Under won
- AZ vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AZ (-1.5)AZ won
- Spread: AZ (-2.5)AZ won
- Spread: SC Heerenveen (-1.5)AZ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.