CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Young Ninjas vs Misa Esports (BO3) - United21 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5ce3d412f8e2f24571e598af8f25993489127fed292b0c37372f6d41195b185
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Young Ninjasof Young Ninjas, Misa Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,957
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,165
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,957 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Young Ninjas | 69c | 760.99$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.21 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Misa Esports | 42c | 613.34$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.85 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Young Ninjas | 59c | 496.76$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.16 | 1,178 | 54.5%642 W · 536 L | -36.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Young Ninjas | 77c | 313.18$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.93 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Misa Esports | 41c | 167.89$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.31 | 2,527 | 43.1%1,088 W · 1,439 L | +42.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe437…2355backed Misa Esports | 24c | 165.29$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6722…865fbacked Misa Esports | 46c | 158.64$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.56 | 277 | 54.9%152 W · 125 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Young Ninjas | 54c | 143.65$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 183 | 41%75 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7244…b819backed Misa Esports | 46c | 127.51$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.04 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Misa Esports | 22c | 122.18$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 202 | 50%101 W · 101 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Young Ninjas | 78c | 110.97$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.41 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc78…a301backed Young Ninjas | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Young Ninjas | 56c | 94.85$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.74 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Misa Esports | 44c | 89.88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.55 | 750 | 48.4%363 W · 387 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Young Ninjas | 67c | 89.84$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.72 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed0…b5b8backed Misa Esports | 51c | 80.12$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.61 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Young Ninjas | 66c | 60.88$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.83 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…b1a2backed Misa Esports | 30c | 59.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 40cpaid | -78.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d4…3a45backed Young Ninjas | 59c | 53.37$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.68 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdffe…b4d3backed Misa Esports | 45c | 51.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 146 | 30.8%45 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Young Ninjas | 58c | 49.02$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.59 | 2,605 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Young Ninjas | 56c | 36.84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.21 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1634…b32fbacked Young Ninjas | 58c | 33.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Young Ninjas | 76c | 27.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Young Ninjas | 57c | 24.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95c8…f1e1backed Young Ninjas | 58c | 20.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Young Ninjas | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa172…0b26backed Young Ninjas | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d8…37ecbacked Young Ninjas | 79c | 14.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.94 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Young Ninjas vs Misa Esports (BO3) - United21 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Young Ninjas vs Misa Esports - Map 1 WinnerYoung Ninjas won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.